Philadelphia @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre ranks as the #26 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for pitchers. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Bohm today. Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 90.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 87.9-mph in the past two weeks. Alec Bohm and his 7.7° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 18th percentile, among the lowest in the majors this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kyle Schwarber has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 14.6% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and even better, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Over the past week, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.7% up to 16.7%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Bryce Harper has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 13.5% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last two weeks.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Trea Turner will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi today... and even more favorably, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Trea Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Trea Turner has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 13% over the past 7 days.

When estimating his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today... and the cherry on top, Kikuchi has a large platoon split.

Santiago Espinal's batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Santiago Espinal will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Edmundo Sosa will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup... and moreover, Kikuchi has a large platoon split. Edmundo Sosa's launch angle this year (14.1°) is considerably higher than his 11° figure last year. Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.4 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is remarkably athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Whit Merrifield's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Bryson Stott has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 92.9-mph over the past 7 days.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 17.6% to 21.4%.

Cavan Biggio has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Belt in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Belt is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of the day (79%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Brandon Belt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.

Yusei Kikuchi has gone over 4.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.