Baltimore @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-worst ballpark in the game for right-handed BABIP. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the strongest out of every team today. In the past 14 days, Julio Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 93.5 mph to 86.7 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Cedric Mullins II is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby today. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins II's launch angle this season (22.1°) is significantly higher than his 17.3° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 14.4% to 18.9%. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 18.9% on the season to 31.6% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.9-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 90.3-mph over the past week.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Compared to last year, Adley Rutschman has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.7% to 19.1% this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.372) suggests that Adley Rutschman this year with his .352 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.7% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games. In the last 7 days, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 108.9-mph recently.

Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin in today's game. Jose Caballero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Caballero's 23.3° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in MLB: 96th percentile. With a 1.94 K/BB rate this year, Jose Caballero has shown strong plate discipline, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Over the past 7 days, Anthony Santander's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph lately. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Anthony Santander's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 98th percentile with a 21.7° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in baseball.

Austin Hays's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Austin Hays has posted a .349 BABIP this year.

Jordan Westburg's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Jordan Westburg has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 91.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 88.8-mph. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.99 ft/sec this year, Jordan Westburg is quite toolsy.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.325) implies that Jorge Mateo has suffered from bad luck this year with his .266 actual wOBA. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.09 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is notably athletic.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Cole Irvin. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Cal Raleigh's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage against Cole Irvin in today's game. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst on the slate).

When assessing his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Irvin today. Teoscar Hernandez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Placing in the 85th percentile, Ramon Urias sports a .338 BABIP this year.

Dylan Moore will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Irvin today. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage today. Dylan Moore has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 13.1% rate last season to 35.3% this year. Dylan Moore has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 100.5-mph average to last year's 92.4-mph figure.

Tom Murphy will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Irvin in today's matchup. Tom Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Tom Murphy will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, Tom Murphy grades out in the 95th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .295. This year, Tom Murphy's 15% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 93rd percentile among his peers.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.