Colorado @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of all the teams on the slate today. Freddie Freeman's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 90.2-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 87-mph over the last two weeks. Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year, putting up a .430 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .397 — a .033 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nolan Jones is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Nolan Jones will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tony Gonsolin today. In the last week, Nolan Jones's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14% up to 33.3%.

Peter Lambert will have the handedness advantage against Mookie Betts in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of all the teams on the slate today. Despite posting a .410 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mookie Betts has had positive variance on his side given the .026 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .384.

Elehuris Montero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. In the past 7 days, Elehuris Montero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 105.6-mph in recent games.

Austin Barnes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Austin Barnes will hold that advantage in today's game. Austin Barnes has been unlucky this year, compiling a .180 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .106 discrepancy.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage against Tony Gonsolin in today's game. Ryan McMahon has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 95.9-mph. Ryan McMahon's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (15°) is significantly higher than his 11.9° mark last year.

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Last season, Elias Diaz had an average launch angle of 5.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 8.7°.

James Outman will hold the platoon advantage over Peter Lambert in today's game. James Outman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. James Outman has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.3% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last week's worth of games. James Outman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88-mph mark. By putting up a .361 BABIP this year, James Outman grades out in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Toglia's true offensive talent to be a .282, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .069 difference between that figure and his actual .213 wOBA.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Jurickson Profar has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 90.3-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 50% on the season to 63.2% over the last 7 days. Ezequiel Tovar grades out in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (50% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. By putting up a .275 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brendan Rodgers finds himself in the 85th percentile.

Miguel Rojas's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Miguel Rojas has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph figure. In terms of his batting average, Miguel Rojas has suffered from bad luck this year. His .213 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .291.

Jason Heyward is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert today. Jason Heyward will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Jason Heyward's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%. Compared to last season, Jason Heyward has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39% to 44.3% this season.

Chris Taylor's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.5°, Chris Taylor has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 53.3° angle in the last week. Last year, Chris Taylor had an average launch angle of 19.4° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 27.2°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Peralta in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. David Peralta is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. David Peralta will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert today. David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and David Peralta will hold that advantage in today's game.

In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Kike Hernandez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Castro in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Harold Castro will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tony Gonsolin in today's game. Harold Castro hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Max Muncy is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's game. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Max Muncy has had some very poor luck this year. His .195 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .213.

Amed Rosario has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.