St. Louis @ Kansas City Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.4% — 100th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nolan Arenado today. Nolan Arenado has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 92.2-mph.

Willson Contreras has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's deepest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Willson Contreras today. Willson Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 95.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 86-mph over the past 14 days. Over the last 14 days, Willson Contreras's 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

Paul Goldschmidt has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) but may find it hard to clear the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph dropping to 85.3-mph in the last two weeks. Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.3°, Paul Goldschmidt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.3°) over the last 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage today.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #4 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Edward Olivares will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Matz today.

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #4 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Salvador Perez will hold the platoon advantage over Steven Matz in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dylan Carlson ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #6 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Cole Ragans.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #4 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Cole Ragans.

The #4 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Samad Taylor will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Matz in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #6 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Dairon Blanco will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Matz in today's matchup.

Jordan Walker's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans today.

Matt Duffy's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Matt Duffy will have the handedness advantage over Steven Matz today.

The #4 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°. Andrew Knizner will hold the platoon advantage over Cole Ragans in today's matchup. Andrew Knizner has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 3.5% rate last season to 10.6% this season.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

MJ Melendez has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Tyler O'Neill has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.