Atlanta @ New York Picks & Props

Citi Field projects as the #30 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Tylor Megill Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the last 7 days, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 92.1 mph to 88.4 mph.

Citi Field ranks as the #30 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense. Tylor Megill will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Riley today. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Austin Riley's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 46.3% on the season to 20% in the last week.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Sean Murphy has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year's 94.2-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Morton today. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Francisco Alvarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage over Tylor Megill today.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today. Mark Vientos has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 96.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jeff McNeil is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Orlando Arcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Orlando Arcia's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 93 mph to 87 mph. Orlando Arcia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 41.6% on the season to 54.5% over the last two weeks. Orlando Arcia has put up a .354 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.

Daniel Vogelbach is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Daniel Vogelbach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Marcell Ozuna has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15.1% seasonal rate to 24.1% over the past 14 days. Marcell Ozuna has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 94.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Among all major league parks, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Tylor Megill in today's game. Eddie Rosario's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 45.2% on the season to 54.5% over the past 14 days.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Danny Mendick has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.