Washington @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Trea Turner is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for righty base hits. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Trea Turner's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 89.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 85.8-mph in the last 7 days. Posting a .297 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Trea Turner has performed in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for righty base hits. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 90.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 85.7-mph in the last week's worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.327) implies that Alec Bohm has been lucky this year with his .343 actual wOBA.

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 ballpark in MLB for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Patrick Corbin will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Harper in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Corbin's large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 14th-best among all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 14th-best among all the teams in action today.

Dominic Smith is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Dominic Smith has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. In the past week, Joey Meneses's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.2% up to 18.8%.

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Over the last 14 days, Keibert Ruiz's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%. By putting up a 1.59 K/BB rate this year, Keibert Ruiz has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the last week, Lane Thomas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 16.7%.

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup. CJ Abrams has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 19% over the last week.

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Alex Call has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 94.3-mph in the last week's worth of games. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alex Call has experienced some negative variance given the .039 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Edmundo Sosa will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin today... and even more favorably, Corbin has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game. Edmundo Sosa is quite toolsy, checking in at the 96th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.42 ft/sec this year.

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.262) suggests that Ildemaro Vargas has had some very poor luck this year with his .241 actual batting average.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.