Atlanta @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and and will be challenged by the league's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Falter. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Sporting a .255 BABIP this year, Ozzie Albies has performed in the 9th percentile.

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all parks. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today's game. Marcell Ozuna has compiled a .250 BABIP this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all parks. Bailey Falter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Olson in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today. Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Olson has been lucky this year. His .410 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .388.

In today's matchup, Austin Riley is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 32.9% rate (76th percentile). The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Riley in today's matchup. Austin Riley's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 47% on the season to 20% in the last week's worth of games.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Liover Peguero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Liover Peguero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph recently.

The #6 venue in the league for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Endy Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all parks. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 46.8% on the season to 40% in the past 7 days.

PNC Park projects as the #6 park in the game for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Alika Williams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jack Suwinski generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Henry Davis is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 15th-strongest out of every team on the slate today. Henry Davis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Orlando Arcia will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter in today's game. Bats such as Orlando Arcia with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Falter who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Orlando Arcia has recorded a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This contest is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kevin Pillar will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Kevin Pillar's quickness has gotten better this year. His 27.11 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.36 ft/sec now. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Kevin Pillar has suffered from bad luck this year. His .301 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .355.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Andrew McCutchen has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.