Colorado @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Austin Barnes will hold the platoon advantage over Ty Blach in today's game. Austin Barnes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Austin Barnes will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Barnes's true offensive talent to be a .286, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .103 disparity between that mark and his actual .183 wOBA.

Elehuris Montero will have the handedness advantage against Clayton Kershaw today. Elehuris Montero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Clayton Kershaw. Michael Toglia has been unlucky this year, notching a .228 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .283 — a .055 gap.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the best among every team on the slate today. Amed Rosario has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 80.8-mph in the past week. In the past week, Amed Rosario's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46%. Amed Rosario has notched a .297 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the best among every team on the slate today. Mookie Betts has been lucky this year, compiling a .407 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .384 — a .023 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Ezequiel Tovar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's matchup. Ezequiel Tovar has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.9% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the past 7 days. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 49.6% on the season to 60% in the last 7 days.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Outman can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's game. James Outman has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.5% seasonal rate to 30% in the past week. Ranking in the 95th percentile, James Outman has notched a .363 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Brendan Rodgers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Brendan Rodgers will hold the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's game. Brendan Rodgers has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, angling balls between -4° and 26° 70% of the time over the past 7 days. Brendan Rodgers has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .263 BA is a good deal lower than his .276 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Clayton Kershaw. Compared to last season, Jurickson Profar has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.4% to 16.8% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Nolan Jones is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. In the past 7 days, Nolan Jones's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.4% up to 36.4%. Nolan Jones has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 97.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate today. Ty Blach will hold the platoon advantage over Freddie Freeman today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the best among every team on the slate today. Freddie Freeman's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 90.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 82.1-mph over the last week. Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year, compiling a .431 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .397 — a .034 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Chris Taylor is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Chris Taylor will hold the platoon advantage over Ty Blach today. Chris Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Elias Diaz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw today. Elias Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 11.8% to 15.3%.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Ryan McMahon has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.9-mph. Ryan McMahon's 95.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 92nd percentile this year.

Max Muncy projects as the 19th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's game. Max Muncy has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .194 rate is a fair amount lower than his .213 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Miguel Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty Blach today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Miguel Rojas has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89-mph average to last year's 86.7-mph figure. In terms of his batting average, Miguel Rojas has experienced some negative variance this year. His .213 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .289.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Kike Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Ty Blach in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Kike Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.5% up to 14.3%. Kike Hernandez's launch angle of late (20.6° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 17.1° seasonal angle.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. Alan Trejo will have the handedness advantage over Clayton Kershaw in today's matchup. Alan Trejo is in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (55.4% rate this year). A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Alan Trejo's 25.6° mark (82nd percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.

J.D. Martinez has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jason Heyward has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.