Kansas City @ Boston Picks & Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Maikel Garcia in today's game. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 92.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 85.9-mph over the last 7 days. In the past week, Maikel Garcia has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power).

Adam Duvall's BABIP skill is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Alec Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Duvall today. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among every team today. Adam Duvall has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 84.6-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

Michael Massey is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. MJ Melendez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game.

Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest LF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trevor Story ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest LF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among every team today. In the past 7 days, Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 94.7 mph to 87.5 mph. From last season to this one, Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 42.2% to 36.4%. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, falling from 36.4% on the season to 30% in the past two weeks.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Drew Waters is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Drew Waters pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Placing in the 86th percentile, Drew Waters sits with a .337 BABIP since the start of last season.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage over Alec Marsh today. Reese McGuire hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. This contest is forecasted to have the 6th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among every team today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.332) suggests that Masataka Yoshida has had some very good luck this year with his .365 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Dairon Blanco will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest LF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 18th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Alec Marsh today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Edward Olivares will have the handedness advantage over James Paxton today.

The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Samad Taylor will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton today. Samad Taylor has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.