Washington @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 90.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 85.5-mph in the past two weeks. Compared to his seasonal figure of 10.2°, Alec Bohm has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1°) over the past two weeks. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Alec Bohm has had some very good luck this year. His .344 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .326.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Michael Lorenzen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Joey Meneses in today's game. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 19.2% to 10.8%.

The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. CJ Abrams's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 86.9-mph seasonal average has fallen to 81.4-mph over the past week. CJ Abrams's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (6.4° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.1° seasonal mark.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Trea Turner's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 89.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 85.3-mph in the past week's worth of games. Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.7°, Trea Turner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.5°) over the past two weeks. Trea Turner has compiled a .295 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games today. Bryce Harper has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games today. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 16.1% on the season to 40% over the last week. With a 1.73 K/BB rate this year, Keibert Ruiz has demonstrated strong plate discipline, placing in the 83rd percentile.

Dominic Smith is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games today. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Michael Lorenzen today. Dominic Smith has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games today.

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games today. Alex Call has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 93.1-mph in the past 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Call's true offensive talent to be a .317, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .038 disparity between that mark and his actual .279 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games today. Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Lane Thomas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9% up to 21.4%.

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for hitting of all games today. Edmundo Sosa will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Bryson Stott has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.