Kansas City @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. Nick Pivetta will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 86.3-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Over the past week, Maikel Garcia has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power).

Jarren Duran has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. Jarren Duran has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 5.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 93.4-mph mark last year has dropped off to 90.3-mph. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 18.4% to 12.2%.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Drew Waters is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Drew Waters pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. By putting up a .337 BABIP since the start of last season, Drew Waters grades out in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 24th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. Nick Pivetta will hold the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Salvador Perez in today's game. Salvador Perez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (15.5°) is quite a bit lower than his 21.3° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Lyles today. Triston Casas pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Lyles in today's game. Alex Verdugo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Kansas City Royals infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage today.

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's game. Kyle Isbel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Kyle Isbel has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24.4° figure over the past 14 days.

Matt Duffy's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Matt Duffy has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Matt Duffy's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%. Posting a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, Matt Duffy is ranked in the 80th percentile.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. Jordan Lyles will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Story today. In terms of plate discipline, Trevor Story's skill is quite bad, putting up a 4.29 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 18th percentile.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.332) provides evidence that Masataka Yoshida has been lucky this year with his .365 actual wOBA.

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Reese McGuire will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Lyles in today's game. Reese McGuire hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Reese McGuire will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 42.2% to 36.5%. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, going from 36.5% on the season to 25.8% over the past two weeks. Posting a .269 BABIP this year, Rafael Devers is positioned in the 18th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. MJ Melendez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta today. MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Michael Massey is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Michael Massey will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta today. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Michael Massey's launch angle this year (20.6°) is a significant increase over his 15.8° mark last year.

The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Matt Beaty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Barraclough today. Matt Beaty has been hot of late, posting a 93.9-mph average exit velocity over the past 7 days.

Connor Wong has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.