Chicago @ New York Picks & Props

The #1 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the past week, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 87.3 mph to 83.8 mph. Nico Hoerner's launch angle in recent games (6° over the last 7 days) is considerably lower than his 10.3° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst field in baseball for left-handed batting average. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 16.7% to 11%. Over the last two weeks, Jeff McNeil has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Jeff McNeil has notched a .297 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the worst field in baseball for left-handed batting average. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%. In the past week's worth of games, Brandon Nimmo's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.1%.

Christopher Morel's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the schedule today. Christopher Morel will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the schedule today. Miguel Amaya will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's game.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the schedule today. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Mark Vientos has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 94.4-mph mark. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Mark Vientos this year. His .244 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .289.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the schedule today. Dansby Swanson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the schedule today. In the past week's worth of games, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the schedule today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the schedule today. Francisco Alvarez pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Yan Gomes is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Yan Gomes will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Yan Gomes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the schedule today. Seiya Suzuki will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Seiya Suzuki has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the schedule today. Cody Bellinger hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Bats such as Cody Bellinger with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Grading out in the 96th percentile, Cody Bellinger has notched a .391 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Daniel Vogelbach is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all parks. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Daniel Vogelbach is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 2nd-best hitting conditions on the schedule today. Patrick Wisdom will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's game. Patrick Wisdom pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Patrick Wisdom with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Patrick Wisdom has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 14.5% rate last year to 20% this season.

DJ Stewart has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.