Kansas City @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Maikel Garcia in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 92.6 mph to 87.2 mph. Maikel Garcia's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (4.6° in the past 7 days) is considerably lower than his 8.1° seasonal angle.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Kutter Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez today. Extreme flyball batters like Salvador Perez tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Kutter Crawford. Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Salvador Perez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (15.5°) is considerably worse than his 21.3° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 14th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Drew Waters pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage over Justin Turner in today's matchup. Justin Turner's launch angle this season (15.4°) is a significant dropoff from his 18.6° mark last year. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) provides evidence that Justin Turner has had positive variance on his side this year with his .362 actual wOBA.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Typically, hitters like Masataka Yoshida who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brady Singer. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.333) suggests that Masataka Yoshida has been very fortunate this year with his .367 actual wOBA. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Masataka Yoshida ranks in just the 1st percentile with a 3.3° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in baseball.

Adam Duvall's BABIP skill is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Adam Duvall has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Brady Singer will hold the platoon advantage over Adam Duvall in today's matchup. Over the last week, Adam Duvall's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 0%.

Jarren Duran has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past 7 days, Jarren Duran's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 18.4% to 12.3%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran's true offensive talent to be a .332, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .037 disparity between that figure and his actual .369 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup.

Edward Olivares's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Edward Olivares pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Story in today's game. a 4.19 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Trevor Story has shown poor plate discipline, placing in the 18th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Michael Massey is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford today.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game. Kyle Isbel pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 42.2% to 36.6%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.350) provides evidence that Rafael Devers has been very fortunate this year with his .364 actual wOBA. Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Rafael Devers has notched a .272 BABIP this year.

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Reese McGuire will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup. Reese McGuire hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Matt Beaty will hold the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford today.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.