Washington @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josiah Gray today.

The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. From last season to this one, Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19.2% to 10.8%. Joey Meneses has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .279 BA is quite a bit higher than his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 ballpark in baseball for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Chavis in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today.

Trea Turner's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to worse offense. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today's game. Alec Bohm has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph dropping to 86.2-mph over the last 14 days. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.1°, Alec Bohm has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.8°) in the last 14 days. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alec Bohm has had some very good luck this year. His .342 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 33.6% to 39.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Lane Thomas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Garrett Stubbs will hold that advantage today. Over the past week, Garrett Stubbs's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 36.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Josiah Gray in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Stone Garrett has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Stone Garrett will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Stone Garrett usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alex Call will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Alex Call has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 93.1-mph over the last 7 days.

Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Ranger Suarez. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today.

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Dominic Smith has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.2°, Dominic Smith has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.3° figure over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage against Josiah Gray in today's game. Jake Cave has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Jake Cave will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Riley Adams is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. This contest is projected to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Edmundo Sosa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.