San Francisco @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The San Francisco Giants have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season Angel Stadium has the shortest fences in Major League Baseball. The weather forecast expects the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. In today's game, Shohei Ohtani is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (82nd percentile). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.409) may lead us to conclude that Shohei Ohtani has had positive variance on his side this year with his .446 actual wOBA.

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Wilmer Flores will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Sandoval today... and moreover, Sandoval has a large platoon split. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilmer Flores tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Patrick Sandoval. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Wilmer Flores has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.7% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Thairo Estrada is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Thairo Estrada will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sandoval has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.2% to 20.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Luis Matos will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sandoval has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) may lead us to conclude that Luis Matos has had bad variance on his side this year with his .291 actual wOBA. In terms of plate discipline, Luis Matos's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.63 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 89th percentile.

The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Patrick Sandoval... and even better, Sandoval has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Patrick Bailey has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.9-mph. Patrick Bailey has notched a .333 BABIP this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. In the last two weeks, Michael Conforto has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 42.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.2°.

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Mike Moustakas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Moustakas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Mike Moustakas will hold that advantage today.

Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Luis Rengifo will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Rengifo has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 13.2% over the past two weeks. Luis Rengifo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.8-mph EV.

Matt Thaiss will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Matt Thaiss will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.3°, Matt Thaiss has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 33.3° figure in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 11th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Austin Slater is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Austin Slater will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Sandoval in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sandoval has a large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today. In comparison to his 89.2-mph average last year, Austin Slater's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.6 mph.

The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Drury in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Drury is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Drury will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brandon Drury's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 38.8% to 45.3%.

Brandon Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

AJ Pollock has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.