Miami @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Avisail Garcia in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park projects as the #10 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Avisail Garcia will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Williamson in today's matchup.

Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Bryan De La Cruz's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 92.7 mph to 87.8 mph.

Joey Votto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #10 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Joey Wendle has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #10 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Yuli Gurriel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jorge Soler in today's game. Jorge Soler's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 96.5-mph EV last year has fallen off to 94.3-mph. In the past week's worth of games, Jorge Soler's 15% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.8%. In notching a .255 BABIP this year, Jorge Soler grades out in the 10th percentile.

Brandon Williamson will have the handedness advantage against Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88.2-mph seasonal average has decreased to 86-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Luis Arraez has been lucky this year, putting up a .391 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .046 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Spencer Steer is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park projects as the #10 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 11th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #10 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson today. Nick Fortes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #10 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Matt McLain's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt McLain is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 83%. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 83%. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage today.

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park projects as the #10 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Tyler Stephenson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today at 83%. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Luke Maile will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Kevin Newman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park projects as the #10 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Among all the teams playing today, the 11th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jon Berti has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.