Chicago @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst ballpark in MLB for lefty batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense. Drew Smyly will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Nimmo today. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week, Christopher Morel's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.7% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst stadium in baseball for righty batting average. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to less offense. Kodai Senga will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 16.5% on the season to 5.6% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Brett Baty is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Yan Gomes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Ian Happ has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Drew Smyly.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Smyly today.

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Cody Bellinger hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Smyly in today's matchup. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. The Chicago Cubs don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Madrigal in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Nick Madrigal has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 86.4-mph EV.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Mike Tauchman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today. Mike Tauchman has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Danny Mendick has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

DJ Stewart has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.