Kansas City @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The #5 field in baseball for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Compared to his seasonal angle of 6.4°, Bryce Harper has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.6°) over the last two weeks. From last year to this one, Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.9% to 9.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 24th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Taijuan Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez in today's game. Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Zack Greinke will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today's game. Alec Bohm has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 5.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 14 days. Alec Bohm's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 85.1-mph in the past week.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Drew Waters is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°. Drew Waters has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94-mph. By putting up a .351 BABIP since the start of last season, Drew Waters is positioned in the 91st percentile.

Trea Turner has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup. The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Zack Greinke will have the handedness advantage over Trea Turner in today's matchup. Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 92-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 83.8-mph over the last week.

The #5 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. Taijuan Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today's game. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 93.5-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 84.2-mph in the last 7 days.

The #5 field in baseball for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. In the last 7 days, Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 89 mph to 85.3 mph. Bryson Stott's launch angle this year (8.7°) is quite a bit worse than his 13.2° mark last season. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, going from 42.2% on the season to 23.1% in the last 7 days.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°. Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker today. Compared to last season, Kyle Isbel has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.7% to 16.3% this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) suggests that Kyle Isbel has had some very poor luck this year with his .213 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Duffy in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°. In notching a .318 BABIP since the start of last season, Matt Duffy has performed in the 79th percentile.

Michael Massey has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°. Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Michael Massey's launch angle this year (20.5°) is a significant increase over his 15.8° mark last year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Zack Greinke in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°. MJ Melendez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°. Jake Cave will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Greinke in today's game. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cave stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jake Cave has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°. Edmundo Sosa will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 95th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.39 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is very athletic.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°. Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage over Zack Greinke in today's game. The Kansas City Royals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Garrett Stubbs has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Garrett Stubbs will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for HRs. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°. Matt Beaty will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker today.

Edward Olivares has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.