Miami @ Texas Picks & Props

Globe Life Field ranks as the #28 stadium in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield fences in the league. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Sandy Alcantara will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien today. As it relates to his batting average, Marcus Semien has had positive variance on his side this year. His .277 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .249.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Avisail Garcia in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Avisail Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Heaney in today's game... and the cherry on top, Heaney has a large platoon split.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Corey Seager hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield fences in the league. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Andrew Heaney will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Heaney's large platoon split. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.

Yuli Gurriel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney today... and even more favorably, Heaney has a large platoon split. Yuli Gurriel's launch angle this year (18.4°) is a considerable increase over his 14.3° mark last year. In the last 7 days, Yuli Gurriel's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%. Sporting a 1.45 K/BB rate this year, Yuli Gurriel has demonstrated strong plate discipline, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Bats such as Robbie Grossman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sandy Alcantara who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Robbie Grossman is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Miami (#2-best of all teams on the slate today). Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Robbie Grossman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Robbie Grossman has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.6% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Jorge Soler's launch angle this season (18°) is significantly higher than his 13.4° figure last season. Jorge Soler has put up a .369 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Jung's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Jung is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 94th percentile, Josh Jung sports a .362 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Bryan De La Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Heaney has a large platoon split. Bryan De La Cruz has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past 7 days. Over the past 7 days, Bryan De La Cruz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 101.4-mph recently.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Adolis Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.8-mph in recent games.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Mitch Garver ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Mitch Garver will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Mitch Garver's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 18.2%. Mitch Garver has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 94-mph over the last 7 days.

Jacob Stallings will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's game... and moreover, Heaney has a large platoon split. Jacob Stallings has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Leody Taveras has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.8°, Leody Taveras has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 19.1° figure in the past 14 days.

Travis Jankowski has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Travis Jankowski will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Travis Jankowski has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.9-mph to 87.9-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Ezequiel Duran has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Jon Berti has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Josh H. Smith has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.