Washington @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Jake Irvin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Spencer Steer's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6% down to 0%. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Spencer Steer's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 91.9 mph to 82 mph. Over the past week, Spencer Steer's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.8%. Despite posting a .360 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Steer has had some very good luck given the .029 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Jake Irvin Elly De La Cruz has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .325 rate is quite a bit higher than his .296 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 5.02 K/BB rate this year, Elly De La Cruz has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 21st percentile.

CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. In the past 7 days, CJ Abrams's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 91.3 mph to 87.9 mph. Despite posting a .315 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has been lucky given the .018 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297. As it relates to plate discipline, CJ Abrams's ability is quite poor, putting up a 4.53 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 11th percentile.

Lyon Richardson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses today. Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Joey Meneses's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 89-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 86.1-mph over the last 14 days. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 19.2% to 10.1%. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, decreasing from 44.6% on the season to 30.4% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in baseball for RHB batting average. This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alex Call pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.8% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last 7 days, Alex Call's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 13.3%. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.3°, Alex Call has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 30.2° figure over the past 14 days.

Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage over Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today's game. Christian Encarnacion-Strand's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 8.7% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days. In the past week, Christian Encarnacion-Strand has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power).

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile with a 1.72 K/BB rate.

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lyon Richardson today. Dominic Smith has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Matt McLain's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt McLain is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in baseball for RHB batting average. This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. This season, Ildemaro Vargas has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91.9 mph compared to last year's 88.5 mph mark. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's talent is quite good, putting up a 2.08 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 78th percentile.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Tyler Stephenson is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in baseball for RHB batting average. This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Tyler Stephenson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in baseball for RHB batting average. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 8th-shallowest. This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nick Senzel will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in baseball for RHB batting average. This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Lane Thomas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Joey Votto is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest RF fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Joey Votto will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is predicted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Will Benson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. Will Benson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Will Benson has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.

Luke Maile has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.