Kansas City @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #25 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Maikel Garcia tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 93.2 mph to 89.6 mph.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #25 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Alec Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm today. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams today. Alec Bohm's launch angle lately (4.2° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 10.3° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for HRs. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Edward Olivares will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Edward Olivares pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Alec Marsh today. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Jake Cave will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh in today's matchup. Jake Cave has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Cave will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the majors. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Alec Marsh today. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for HRs. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Trea Turner has been unlucky this year, notching a .294 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .050 gap.

Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for HRs. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Salvador Perez will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. Hitters such as Salvador Perez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for HRs. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Samad Taylor will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Samad Taylor is quite fast, placing in the 91st percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.94 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for HRs. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Dairon Blanco will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 16th-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Drew Waters pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Drew Waters's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 49.5% on the season to 71.4% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Duffy in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Matt Duffy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for HRs. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 84°. Matt Duffy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Isbel has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

MJ Melendez has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.