Miami @ Texas Picks & Props

The #1 field in the league for suppressing BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 25° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Today, Corey Seager is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (80th percentile). Despite posting a .440 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has been lucky given the .050 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .390.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Jon Gray today. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s 96-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 93rd percentile this year. In notching a .341 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jazz Chisholm Jr. is positioned in the 76th percentile.

The #1 field in the league for suppressing BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 25° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez today. In the last week, Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 89 mph to 82.1 mph.

Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Robbie Grossman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jon Gray in today's game. Jesus Sanchez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.1-mph average to last year's 94.7-mph mark. In terms of his batting average, Jesus Sanchez this year. His .255 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .278. This year, Jesus Sanchez's 12.9% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 87th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Leody Taveras this year. His .278 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .307. Grading out in the 80th percentile, Leody Taveras has posted a .328 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage over Jon Gray today. Joey Wendle's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (7°) is significantly higher than his 3.8° figure last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mitch Garver ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mitch Garver has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.6% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past 14 days. Mitch Garver has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93.1-mph in the past 14 days.

Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has been unlucky given the .062 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Ezequiel Duran will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Ezequiel Duran has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last season's 85.4-mph EV. Ezequiel Duran has posted a .289 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Adolis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 15.5% to 18.6%.

Josh Jung's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Jung is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 52% on the season to 70% in the last 7 days.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.7° angle in the last two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Jorge Soler has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 94.9-mph. Jorge Soler's launch angle this season (18°) is quite a bit better than his 13.4° mark last year. Based on Statcast data, Jorge Soler grades out in the 89th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .366.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Bryan De La Cruz has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8% seasonal rate to 13.6% over the past two weeks. In the past two weeks, Bryan De La Cruz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph of late. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bryan De La Cruz has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 19.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 10.2°.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Avisail Garcia has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Jon Berti has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.