Washington @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Joan Adon will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Steer today. Spencer Steer has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Spencer Steer's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 89-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 73.5-mph in the last week. Spencer Steer's launch angle of late (0.2° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 16.3° seasonal figure.

Keibert Ruiz's BABIP skill is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Keibert Ruiz in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Keibert Ruiz's average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.3-mph in the past 14 days.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Joey Meneses's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 93.8-mph EV last season has lowered to 90.6-mph. Joey Meneses's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.2% to 10%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.244) suggests that Joey Meneses has had some very good luck this year with his .283 actual batting average.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Joan Adon When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Elly De La Cruz has had some very good luck this year. His .331 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305. Elly De La Cruz has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 6th percentile with a 5.45 K/BB rate.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Joan Adon will have the handedness advantage against Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 17.6°, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly lately (14.3° in the past 14 days).

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Lane Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Lane Thomas has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) suggests that Lane Thomas has had positive variance on his side this year with his .287 actual batting average. When it comes to plate discipline, Lane Thomas's skill is quite bad, putting up a 4.51 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 11th percentile.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Joan Adon will have the handedness advantage over Matt McLain in today's game. Matt McLain has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 10.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 15.9% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt McLain's true offensive ability to be a .327, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .059 difference between that mark and his actual .386 wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Fraley is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage over Joan Adon today.

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average. In Major League Baseball, Great American Ball Park's right field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 33.6% to 40.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Will Benson will have the handedness advantage against Joan Adon today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Will Benson will hold that advantage today. Will Benson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.5-mph figure.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 field in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Andrew Abbott... and even better, Abbott has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball hitters like Ildemaro Vargas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Stephenson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage today. In notching a .337 BABIP this year, Tyler Stephenson has performed in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Chavis in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 field in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Chavis will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game... and even more favorably, Abbott has a large platoon split.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 field in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage today.

Joey Votto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average. In Major League Baseball, Great American Ball Park's right field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Votto will hold the platoon advantage over Joan Adon today.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 field in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alex Call will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Abbott has a large platoon split. Alex Call pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.8% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .280 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alex Call has been unlucky given the .037 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 field in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Luke Maile will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luke Maile has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 5.4% rate last year to 12.3% this year.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 field in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Riley Adams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game... and even better, Abbott has a large platoon split. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Riley Adams has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 115 mph (an advanced metric to evaluate power), placing in the 96th percentile.

Stone Garrett is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 field in MLB for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Stone Garrett will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott today... and the cherry on top, Abbott has a large platoon split. In the past two weeks, Stone Garrett's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph recently.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Dominic Smith has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.