New York @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Starling Marte is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game. Kyle Gibson will have the handedness advantage over Starling Marte in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Starling Marte tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Gibson. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Starling Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Ryan McKenna's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan McKenna will hold that advantage in today's game.

Tylor Megill will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 94.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 91.8-mph over the last two weeks. Ryan Mountcastle has shown bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 10th percentile with a 4.78 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeff McNeil today. In the past two weeks, Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 87.9 mph to 84.2 mph. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 16.7% to 9.8%. In the past 7 days, Jeff McNeil's 25% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.2%.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his bad side (0) today against Kyle Gibson The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor today. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 19.3% on the season to 12.1% over the past 14 days. Placing in the 14th percentile, Francisco Lindor sits with a .258 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's centerfield fences are the 3rd-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Tylor Megill in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Gibson today. When it comes to his batting average, Brett Baty has experienced some negative variance this year. His .231 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #5 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams on the slate today. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 9.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal figure of 11.3°, Brandon Nimmo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4°) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's centerfield fences are the 3rd-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Austin Hays will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In notching a .353 BABIP this year, Austin Hays grades out in the 93rd percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

The #5 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Ramon Urias has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #5 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°.

Daniel Vogelbach is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 84°. Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

DJ Stewart has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.