Seattle @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reid Detmers in today's game. Julio Rodriguez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.7% seasonal rate to 19.4% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .323 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .372 — a .049 gap.

Zach Neto's batting average ability is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Zach Neto this year. His .324 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .344. Zach Neto's 94.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 76th percentile this year.

Jose Caballero will hold the platoon advantage over Reid Detmers today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 96th percentile with a 23.7° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the game. Sporting a 1.9 K/BB rate this year, Jose Caballero has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Rengifo will hold that advantage today. Luis Rengifo has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Luis Rengifo has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph figure.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #8 field in the league for suppressing BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium. Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today.

Matt Thaiss will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Matt Thaiss will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Matt Thaiss's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.7% up to 25%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Matt Thaiss's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 98.1-mph in recent games.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Eugenio Suarez will hold the platoon advantage against Reid Detmers in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Eugenio Suarez's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.2%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Eugenio Suarez's true offensive ability to be a .338, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .028 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .310 wOBA.

Dylan Moore will hold the platoon advantage against Reid Detmers in today's matchup. This season, Dylan Moore has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.4 mph compared to last year's 92.4 mph mark. Dylan Moore's launch angle this season (31.6°) is considerably better than his 20.6° angle last year. Dylan Moore has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .335 figure is considerably lower than his .376 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Dylan Moore's 16.9% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Teoscar Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Reid Detmers today. Despite posting a .299 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Teoscar Hernandez has had some very poor luck given the .046 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .345. Checking in at the 81st percentile, Teoscar Hernandez sports a .330 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Drury in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Drury is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Drury will hold that advantage in today's game.

The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Hunter Renfroe has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph EV.

Mike Moustakas is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Mike Moustakas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today. Mike Moustakas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Mike Moustakas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 91.6-mph.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Reid Detmers. Cal Raleigh has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.4% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last two weeks. In the last 14 days, Cal Raleigh's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 94.9-mph lately. Over the past 14 days, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.2°.

Tom Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (95% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Tom Murphy will hold the platoon advantage over Reid Detmers in today's matchup. Tom Murphy has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 16.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past two weeks. Tom Murphy has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.7-mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, Tom Murphy is in the 97th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .376.

Mike Ford has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Cade Marlowe has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.