Miami @ Texas Picks & Props

Avisail Garcia's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Avisail Garcia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Avisail Garcia will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery today. Avisail Garcia has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.5% rate last season to 14% this year. This season, Avisail Garcia has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 99.9 mph compared to last year's 94.2 mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Corey Seager projects as the 10th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Corey Seager has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.5% rate last year to 20.1% this year.

Globe Life Field ranks as the #28 field in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 25° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jordan Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Arraez today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Josh Jung is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Josh Jung will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Miami's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Robbie Grossman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Robbie Grossman will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's game. Mitch Garver has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 13.6% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Leody Taveras has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .278 BA is a fair amount lower than his .307 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Leody Taveras has put up a .328 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Marcus Semien will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Bryan De La Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Bryan De La Cruz has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8% seasonal rate to 13.6% in the past two weeks. Bryan De La Cruz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.9-mph.

Yuli Gurriel will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery today. There has been a significant improvement in Yuli Gurriel's launch angle from last year's 14.3° to 17.6° this year. Yuli Gurriel has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.5 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Over the last 7 days, Jorge Soler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph in recent games. There has been a significant improvement in Jorge Soler's launch angle from last year's 13.4° to 17.7° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ezequiel Duran has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year's 85.4-mph figure.

Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has experienced some negative variance given the .062 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Jon Berti has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.