Boston @ Seattle Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for pitchers. Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for pitchers. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Masataka Yoshida in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today. Alex Verdugo has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 5th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Cal Raleigh usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Mike Ford will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup. Mike Ford pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Mike Ford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Mike Ford has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV. Checking in at the 75th percentile, Mike Ford sports a .323 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Eugenio Suarez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Justin Turner ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Justin Turner has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Justin Turner has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 92.8-mph.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Miller in today's matchup. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Cade Marlowe will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today. Cade Marlowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Cade Marlowe has been hot in recent games, hitting his way to a .403 wOBA over the last week. In the last week, Cade Marlowe has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the majors. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Teoscar Hernandez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .300 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.

Christian Arroyo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Reese McGuire has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.