San Francisco @ Washington Picks & Props

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

CJ Abrams has gone under 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Call will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Alex Call's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 13% on the season to 0% in the last week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Call's true offensive talent to be a .322, indicating that he this year given the .044 difference between that figure and his actual .278 wOBA.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jeimer Candelario ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The 8th-shallowest RF fences among all parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Anthony DeSclafani in today's matchup. Dominic Smith will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, Dominic Smith has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 19.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.8°.

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Wilmer Flores will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

Luis Garcia's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Luis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony DeSclafani in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Riley Adams will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Stone Garrett is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Stone Garrett will hold that advantage in today's game. Stone Garrett has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph figure. Stone Garrett has put up a .363 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Meneses has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Joey Meneses will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Luis Matos's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Matos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Luis Matos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP talent. Austin Slater is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Slater will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Austin Slater has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). David Villar will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, David Villar has suffered from bad luck this year. His .253 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .318. Since the start of last season, David Villar's 11.3% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.

Patrick Bailey has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

The 8th-shallowest RF fences among all parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Corey Dickerson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony DeSclafani in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Corey Dickerson will hold that advantage today. Corey Dickerson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 11.1% to 17.2%.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Casey Schmitt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Casey Schmitt's true offensive ability to be a .290, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .038 gap between that figure and his actual .252 wOBA.

Joc Pederson has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

J.D. Davis has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.