Milwaukee @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 11th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 venue in baseball for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Yelich in today's game. Christian Yelich's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 46.3% on the season to 23.1% in the past 7 days.

The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Taijuan Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against William Contreras in today's game. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 98.5-mph mark last season has dropped to 96.2-mph.

Jesse Winker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 11th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 12th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 12th-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Andruw Monasterio has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 89.9-mph. The standard deviation of Andruw Monasterio's launch angle has been very consistent recently (31.3° over the past week), which is an indicator of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Brice Turang has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 12th-weakest out of all the teams playing today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang's true offensive ability to be a .301, implying that he this year given the .049 disparity between that mark and his actual .252 wOBA.

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Burnes today. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Garrett Stubbs can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Garrett Stubbs will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 11th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's game. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alec Bohm has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's game.

Victor Caratini is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 12th-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Victor Caratini has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average ability. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Trea Turner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Raimel Tapia in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Raimel Tapia will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's game. Raimel Tapia has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 12th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Darick Hall will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Darick Hall stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Darick Hall will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Edmundo Sosa has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.