Toronto @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's game. The Chicago White Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among all the teams in action today. Andrew Benintendi has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 83.3-mph in the last two weeks. From last season to this one, Andrew Benintendi's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91.1 mph to 87.9 mph.

Whit Merrifield's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Whit Merrifield has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Belt in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Belt is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Brandon Belt will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the game for RHB batting average. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Zach Remillard will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Zach Remillard's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.9-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph recently.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Matt Chapman pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Chris Bassitt will have the handedness advantage against Tim Anderson in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among all the teams in action today. Over the last 14 days, Tim Anderson's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 90.1 mph to 81.5 mph. From last year to this one, Tim Anderson's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.8% to 7.7%. By putting up a .242 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Tim Anderson finds himself in the 2nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Luis Robert is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the game for RHB batting average. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake Burger will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Eloy Jimenez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Andrew Vaughn has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Lucas Giolito will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today's matchup. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, George Springer's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's game.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Alejandro Kirk has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. The Chicago White Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the league for left-handed batting average. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 85°. Yasmani Grandal will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to last year, Yasmani Grandal has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40.8% to 46.3% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-best field in the game for RHB batting average. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 86°. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Seby Zavala will hold that advantage in today's game. Seby Zavala has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Gavin Sheets has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Elvis Andrus has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.