Tampa Bay @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-worst park in the game for righty BABIP. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Siri has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.3% rate last year to 17.4% this season. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.3°, Jose Siri has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 36.8° figure in the last week. Compared to last year, Jose Siri has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.8% to 22.7% this season.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Julio Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jose Caballero will have the handedness advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup. Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jose Caballero's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (21.4° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 16.6° seasonal angle. By putting up a 1.44 K/BB rate this year, Jose Caballero has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wander Franco as the 10th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability. Wander Franco is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. In the past week, Wander Franco's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 13.3%. Wander Franco has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.5-mph.

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Teoscar Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Shane McClanahan in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game.

HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Jarred Kelenic will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Jarred Kelenic has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year's 93.2-mph average. Jarred Kelenic has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.1-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 96.6-mph. Jarred Kelenic's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 31.1% to 54.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Randy Arozarena has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 7.9% rate last season to 15.3% this year. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last year's 89.8-mph mark.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.3% seasonal rate to 12% in the past 14 days. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (20.9°) is a significant increase over his 15.5° angle last season. In notching a .375 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Isaac Paredes is positioned in the 92nd percentile.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Shane McClanahan. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Cal Raleigh's launch angle in recent games (24.6° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 17.8° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.350) suggests that Cal Raleigh has suffered from bad luck this year with his .311 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Eugenio Suarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan today. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.

HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. There has been a significant improvement in Taylor Walls's launch angle from last year's 16.4° to 20.9° this season. Over the past 14 days, Taylor Walls has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 31.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 19°.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game. By putting up a .399 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luke Raley grades out in the 97th percentile.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Tom Murphy has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Mike Ford has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Vidal Brujan has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Kolten Wong has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.