Los Angeles @ Colorado Picks & Props

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in the game for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Extreme flyball bats like Andrew Velazquez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Chase Anderson. Andrew Velazquez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .199 figure is considerably lower than his .220 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Harold Castro is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game. Harold Castro has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 11.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Harold Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 18.1% to 11.7%. Harold Castro has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .278 mark is a good deal higher than his .248 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Coors Field projects as the #1 field in MLB for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team today. Elehuris Montero will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Jurickson Profar in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the lowest humidity on the slate today at 18%. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Griffin Canning Jurickson Profar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 88-mph average last year has decreased to 85.5-mph.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in the game for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Jared Walsh will have the handedness advantage over Chase Anderson in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jared Walsh has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in the game for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Extreme flyball hitters like Luis Rengifo are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Chase Anderson. Luis Rengifo has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 4% seasonal rate to 10% in the past week.

Jorge Alfaro is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 11.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Griffin Canning will hold the platoon advantage against Jorge Alfaro today. Jorge Alfaro has displayed weak plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 7th percentile with a 10.16 K/BB rate.

Randal Grichuk has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game. Griffin Canning will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randal Grichuk in today's game. Randal Grichuk's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 90.3-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 81.9-mph in the past two weeks. Randal Grichuk's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (4.2° in the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 10.3° seasonal figure. Randal Grichuk has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .294 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .255 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Elias Diaz in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Griffin Canning will have the handedness advantage over Elias Diaz in today's matchup. Elias Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, falling from 47.8% on the season to 32.1% in the past two weeks. Elias Diaz has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .357 mark is quite a bit higher than his .300 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Ryan McMahon has been lucky this year, posting a .362 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .034 gap.

THE BAT X projects Nolan Jones as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nolan Jones is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in the game for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in the game for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Mike Moustakas will have the handedness advantage against Griffin Canning in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team today.

Matt Thaiss is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in the game for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Matt Thaiss will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Anderson today.

Brandon Drury has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Mike Trout has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Hunter Renfroe has not yet played a game this season.

Taylor Ward has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ezequiel Tovar has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.