Texas @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Grayson Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien in today's matchup. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's deepest LF fences today. Of all teams today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Marcus Semien has been very fortunate this year. His .299 mark has been significantly inflated relative to THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

Adam Frazier has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's deepest LF fences in today's game. Last season, Adam Frazier had a launch angle of 12.7° on his hardest-hit balls, significantly better than his 9.5° this year. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, falling from 15.9% on the season to 4.8% over the past 7 days. THE BAT X estimates Adam Frazier's true offensive skill to be a .298, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .036 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .334 wOBA. Checking in at the 16th percentile, Adam Frazier has notched a .252 BABIP this year.

Jon Gray will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Mountcastle today. Recently, Ryan Mountcastle's velocity on flyballs has declined, dropping from his seasonal average of 94.8 mph to 90.9 mph in the last 14 days. Ryan Mountcastle has shown poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 10th percentile with a 4.93 K/BB rate. Grading out in the 19th percentile, Ryan Mountcastle sits with a .260 BABIP this year.

Gunnar Henderson's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Based on THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards is rated as the 5th stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Jon Gray today. Gunnar Henderson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Based on THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards is rated as the 5th stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Sandy Leon pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

THE BAT X projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Josh Jung is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The BAT projection system predicts that park will rank as the 5nd ballpark in the game for righty BABIP. Lately, Josh Jung's Barrel% has shown remarkable improvement, increasing from his seasonal rate of 12.8% to 23.5% within the last week's worth of games. In the last 14 days, Josh Jung's exit velocity has notably risen, with an EV of 97.2 mph compared to his season-long 91.7 mph EV.

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Cedric Mullins II scores in the 85th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Cedric Mullins II is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Based on THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards is rated as the 5th stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage over Jon Gray in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Projected by THE BAT X, Corey Seager is expected to be the 14th-best hitter in the league. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Based on THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards is rated as the 5th stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Corey Seager will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today's matchup. Corey Seager has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 10.5% rate last season to 18.9% this year.

The BAT projection system predicts that park will rank as the 5nd ballpark in the game for righty BABIP. Jorge Mateo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.271) may lead us to conclude that Jorge Mateo has been unlucky this year with his .232 actual batting average.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Based on THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards is rated as the 5th stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest. Adley Rutschman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

In terms of his batting average talent, Austin Hays ranks in the 76th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. The BAT projection system predicts that park will rank as the 5nd ballpark in the game for righty BABIP. Austin Hays will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. With a .368 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Austin Hays is positioned in the 83rd percentile. By putting up a .313 batting average this year, Austin Hays has performed in the 97th percentile.

In terms of his overall offensive capskill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 77th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The BAT projection system predicts that park will rank as the 5nd ballpark in the game for righty BABIP. Lately, Adolis Garcia has enhanced his Barrel% notablely, rising from his seasonal rate of 15.8% to 25% in the past 14 days. Comparing his seasonal mark of 96-mph to his 101-mph mark in the last two weeks' worth of games, it is clear that Adolis Garcia has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs.

Based on THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards is rated as the 5th stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Jonah Heim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. His average launch figure on the highest exit velocity balls this year is 21.1°, which is significantly higher compared to his figure of 11.7° in the previous season - Jonah Heim

Based on THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards is rated as the 5th stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest.

Based on THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards is rated as the 5th stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Leody Taveras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Ranking in the 98th percentile, Leody Taveras has put up a .357 BABIP since the start of last season.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Based on THE BAT projection system, Oriole Park at Camden Yards is rated as the 5th stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. A significant rise in Anthony Santander's exit velocity on flyballs is averageident this year as his average of 95.5 mph is much lower than last year's 93.2 mph average.

The BAT projection system predicts that park will rank as the 5nd ballpark in the game for righty BABIP. James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. James McCann will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. James McCann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 13.2% to 20%. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, James McCann has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .238 figure falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .290.

Ramon Urias has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nathaniel Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Ryan O'Hearn has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Josh H. Smith has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.