Toronto @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Estimating Whit Merrifield's batting average skill, THE BAT X projects him in the 89th percentile. Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for homers. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Lately, Whit Merrifield' exit velocity on flyballs has notably gaind, as figureidenced by his average of 94.3-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 89.3-mph.

Assessing his ability in BABIP, THE BAT X ranks Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman today. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Brandon Marsh's capability of hitting the ball at an ideal launch angle for a BABIP (ranging between -4° and 26°) has elevated to 70%, whereas it was 50% earlier in the season.

According to THE BAT X, Kyle Schwarber is predicted to be the 15th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for homers. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today. Lately, Kyle Schwarber has seen a boost in his capacity to make contact with the ball at an angle that lends itself well to a BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his success rate going from 35.3% over the season to 47.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for homers.

Trea Turner is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the league by THE BAT, based on his batting average ability. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for homers. There has been a significant improvement in Trea Turner's launch angle from last year's 9.7° to 16° this season.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for homers. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Cavan Biggio's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 20.3% to 25.8%. Cavan Biggio is notably athletic, checking in at the 82nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.27 ft/sec this year.

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for homers. The BAT X interprets Statcast data to place Alec Bohm in the 79th percentile with a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) notched since the start of last season. Based on THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data, Alec Bohm ranks in the 88th percentile with a .288 Expected Batting Average for this year.

In terms of his overall offensive capability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Matt Chapman pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Matt Chapman has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 97.6-mph.

When it comes to his BABIP capskill, Edmundo Sosa is projected in the 83rd percentile by THE BAT X. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for homers.

Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Compared to last season's 15°, Danny Jansen has shown a notable increase in his average launch mark of 23.3° on his hardest-hit balls this season. Lately, Danny Jansen has improved his capability to hit the ball with a launch angle (ranging from -4° to 26°) that is optimized for home runs. His percentage has increased from 20.8% for the season to 26.3% in the last two weeks. Danny Jansen has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .261 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .342 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

When it comes to his BABIP capability, Kevin Kiermaier is projected in the 77th percentile by THE BAT X. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for homers. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Over the last two weeks, Kevin Kiermaier's exit velocity on flyballs has experienced a significant boost, evident from his average of 89.7-mph, which surpasses his seasonal average of 87.4-mph.

Per THE BAT X, it is projected that Bryce Harper will rank as the 9th-best batter in the game. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. A strong indication of Bryce Harper's recent form and raw power is that he hit one of the hardest balls in the league in the past week's games, at a speed of 113.7 mph.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for homers. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Daulton Varsho has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 94-mph.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for homers. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Lately, Brandon Belt has enhanced his Barrel% sizeablely, rising from his seasonal rate of 15.8% to 50% in the past 14 days. Brandon Belt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 22.6% to 34.2%.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.