Atlanta @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst park in baseball for lefty batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Denyi Reyes Typically, hitters like Ozzie Albies who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Denyi Reyes. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The #1 park in the game for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Denyi Reyes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today's game. Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Grading out in the 10th percentile, Marcell Ozuna has put up a .256 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst park in baseball for lefty batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Jeff McNeil has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph dropping to 82.6-mph in the past week's worth of games. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 16.7% to 11%. Jeff McNeil has put up a .277 BABIP this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

The #1 park in the game for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Denyi Reyes will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Riley in today's matchup. Austin Riley has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 12.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst park in baseball for lefty batting average. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Olson in today's matchup. Matt Olson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .410 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .389 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Orlando Arcia are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Denyi Reyes. Orlando Arcia has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 93.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Sean Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Sean Murphy has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 10.5% rate last year to 16.7% this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Allan Winans today.

Among all stadiums, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Denyi Reyes in today's game.

Daniel Vogelbach is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage against Allan Winans in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today.

Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Omar Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage against Allan Winans in today's matchup. Omar Narvaez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Omar Narvaez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Brett Baty has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Pillar has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Vaughn Grissom has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Starling Marte has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Francisco Lindor has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Tomas Nido has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Mark Canha has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Danny Mendick has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

DJ Stewart has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.