ATH -117 o9.5
MIN +106 u9.5
TEX +107 o9.0
KC -118 u9.0
MIL +120 o6.5
CHC -132 u6.5
LAD -255 o12.0
COL +223 u12.0
NYM -137 o8.0
WAS +124 u8.0
SF +152 o8.0
SD -169 u8.0
HOU -105 o8.5
BAL -105 u8.5
BOS +124 o8.0
NYY -137 u8.0
STL -117 o8.0
TB +106 u8.0

Boston @ Tampa Bay preview

Tropicana Field

Last Meeting ( Jul 14, 2012 ) Boston 3, Tampa Bay 5


The Boston Red Sox keep getting players back ... and keep losing more. Clay Buchholz returned on Saturday but Adrian Gonzalez was held out with back spasms and is doubtful for Sunday’s series finale against the Tampa Bay Rays. The Red Sox might not need the extra pop on Sunday, when they go up against struggling starter James Shields. The Rays will be looking to post their second straight home series win.

Jacoby Ellsbury is back but Carl Crawford and Dustin Pedroia are not expected to return until next week for the Red Sox, who are waiting until they are at full strength to accurately assess the team before the trade deadline. Tampa Bay is closer to playoff contention than Boston, sitting one-half game out of the second wild card spot in the American League. Somehow the Rays continue to hang on despite Evan Longoria being out of the lineup and most of the offense and defense struggling.

TV: 1:40 p.m. ET, NESN (Boston), SUN (Tampa Bay)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox RH Josh Beckett (4-7, 4.43 ERA) vs. Rays RH James Shields (8-5, 4.17)

Beckett has not earned a win since May 20 and was knocked around for six runs and eight hits in five innings against the New York Yankees his last time out. The right-hander has not yielded a home run in any of his last eight starts and has allowed two runs or less five times in that span. He did not factor in the decision against the Rays on May 26 despite surrendering only two runs in seven innings. Beckett is 10-4 with a 2.82 ERA in 21 career starts against Tampa Bay.

Shields has been pounded for 41 hits and 17 earned runs in 26 2/3 innings over his last four starts. The veteran right-hander has allowed four earned runs or more in eight of his last 11 turns. Shields had his best start of the season at Boston on April 16, when he surrendered four hits in 8 1/3 scoreless innings to pick up a win. He is 8-12 with a 4.34 ERA in 22 career starts against the Red Sox.

WALK-OFFS

1. Crawford went 2-for-4 in a rehab game at Triple-A Pawtucket on Saturday and is expected to join the team on Monday for the start of a four-game series against the Chicago White Sox.

2. The top three hitters in Tampa Bay’s lineup are a combined 2-for-23 with nine strikeouts in the series.

3. Rays RF Matt Joyce (oblique) will play for Class A Charlotte on a rehab assignment starting Sunday.

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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