ATH -117 o9.5
MIN +106 u9.5
TEX +107 o9.0
KC -118 u9.0
MIL +120 o6.5
CHC -132 u6.5
LAD -255 o12.0
COL +223 u12.0
NYM -137 o8.0
WAS +124 u8.0
SF +152 o8.0
SD -169 u8.0
HOU -105 o8.5
BAL -105 u8.5
BOS +124 o8.0
NYY -137 u8.0
STL -117 o8.0
TB +106 u8.0

Arizona @ Chicago preview

Wrigley Field

Last Meeting ( Jul 14, 2012 ) Arizona 1, Chi. Cubs 4


The Chicago Cubs are in the midst of their best stretch of an otherwise forgetful season. A victory in Sunday’s series finale against the Arizona Diamondbacks would make them winners of 12 of their last 16 games and six straight at home. The Diamondbacks, who went in the All-Star break on a three-game winning streak, have had little luck against the Cubs’ pitching, managing a total of two runs in as many games.

After failing to get anything going against one trade candidate (Ryan Dempster) on Saturday, Arizona will be hoping to bring down the market value of another when it faces Matt Garza in Sunday’s finale. Garza is thought to be the more attractive option for other teams because he has demonstrated an ability to pitch under playoff pressure from his time with the Tampa Bay Rays and is six years younger. The Diamondbacks are fielding calls on their own players prior to the trade deadline and have another two weeks to decide if they will be buyers or sellers.

TV: 2:20 p.m. ET, FSAZ (Arizona), WGN (Chicago)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Diamondbacks RH Trevor Cahill (7-7, 3.64 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Matt Garza (4-7, 4.32)

Cahill is at his best when he uses his heavy sinker to keep the ball on the ground. Lately, the right-hander has been letting too much air under the ball. Cahill has surrendered seven home runs in his last four starts, posting a 2-2 record with a 5.63 ERA in that span. He has made one career start against Chicago, securing a win despite allowing four runs in 5 2/3 innings.

Garza was victimized by the long ball in his final start before the break, yielding three home runs in four innings during a loss at Atlanta. The 28-year-old had allowed three earned runs or less in each of his previous six turns. Garza faced the Diamondbacks on June 24, allowing three runs on five hits while striking out seven in seven innings. The Cubs managed only one run in the contest, saddling Garza with the loss.

WALK-OFFS

1. Arizona LF Jason Kubel (hamstring) was held out of the starting lineup on Saturday but appeared as a pinch hitter in the ninth. He is day-to-day.

2. Cubs phenom Anthony Rizzo has hit safely in 12 of 14 games since being recalled on June 26 and is batting .357.

3. Chicago is 10-1 in its last 11 home games against National League teams.

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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