It’s win-or-go-home when Sweden hosts Poland, and despite the firepower on both sides, this matchup feels far less one-sided than the market suggests.
With Robert Lewandowski chasing what could be his final World Cup appearance and Sweden countering with their own attacking threats, my Sweden vs. Poland predictions and free betting picks are backing both teams to score in Tuesday’s high-stakes showdown.
- UPDATE: Starting XI now confirmed for both sides
Sweden vs Poland picks and predictions
My Sweden vs Poland best bet: Both teams to score — Yes (-111 at Sports Interaction)
Try as they might, Sweden couldn’t escape their win over Ukraine with a clean sheet. It now marks eight consecutive matches where their defense has been breached.
Meanwhile, Poland’s 2-1 win over Albania saw both teams score for the sixth time in their last eight matches.
With what’s at stake for both nations on Tuesday, it’s unlikely we will see either side going down without a goal.
The Poles have scored in 15 consecutive matches, while the Swedes have an in-form Viktor Gyokeres coming off a hat-trick performance.
We will see goals from both countries before the end of regulation.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account
Sweden vs Poland same-game parlay (SGP)
Both teams to score — Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Poland double chance — Win or Draw
Both of these teams have dangerous attacks. Robert Lewandowski and Piotr Zielinski give Poland a dangerous duo, while Gyokeres and Anthony Elanga will put pressure on Poland’s defense.
Sweden’s defense is vulnerable, and Poland’s depth and adaptability will create tactical mismatches for the hosts. It’s going to put pressure on a Sweden team that simply isn’t as deep.
Jan Urban has been in charge for seven matches, and Poland has yet to lose under his leadership. That won’t change here.
This feels like a 2-1 or 2-2 result in regulation, with Poland either coming out on top or forcing extra time.
More World Cup playoff picks
Sweden vs Poland predicted lineups
Sweden (3-4-3): Norfeldt; Lagerbielke, Starfelt, Lindelof; Svensson, Karlstrom, Ayari, Gudmundsson; Elanga, Nygren; Gyokeres
Poland (3-5-2): Grabara; Bednarek, Wisniewski, Kiwior; Cash, Zalewski, Zielinski, Symanski, Kaminski; Swiderski, Lewandowski
Sweden vs Poland odds
| Sweden | Poland | |
|---|---|---|
| +104 | Moneyline | +270 |
| +240 | Draw | +240 |
| Over 2.5 (+114) | Total | Under 2.5 (-164) |
Odds as of 3-31, courtesy of Sports Interaction.
How to watch Sweden vs Poland
| Location | Strawberry Arena, Solna, Sweden |
| Date | Tuesday, March 31, 2026 |
| Time | 2:45 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS2 |
| Weather | Clear playing conditions. |
Sweden vs Poland key injuries
Sweden: Isak (Out), Krafth (Out), Kulusevski (Out), Berhardsson (Out), Hien (Out), Holm (Out).
Poland: Buksa (Out), Kapustka (Out), Skorupski (Out).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
