MLS Predictions: Moneyline Picks for Every Opening Weekend Game

Jason Ence breaks down his top moneyline picks for every match on MLS opening weekend.

Jason Ence - Contributor at Covers.com
Jason Ence • Betting Analyst
Feb 21, 2026 • 11:37 ET • 4 min read
Riqui Puig of the LA Galaxy MLS
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Riqui Puig of the LA Galaxy.

The opening weekend of Major League Soccer is upon us, and plenty of teams are eyeing a shot at taking the MLS Cup away from Inter Miami.

We break down which teams will get off to a winning start in our free betting picks for the opening weekend of the MLS slate.

MLS moneyline picks for Opening Weekend

Game Pick
Cardinals St. Louis CITY SC vs Cardinals Charlotte FC Cardinals Charlotte +165
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United Atlanta United FC Atlanta United Atlanta  -113
Vancouver Whitecaps FC Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake Vancouver Whitecaps FC Vancouver -154
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls Orlando City SC Orlando City -108
D.C. United D.C. United vs Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union Philadelphia +115
Nashville SC Nashville SC vs New England Revolution New England Revolution Nashville SC Nashville -147
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo vs Chicago Fire Chicago Fire Chicago Fire Chicago +250
FC Dallas FC Dallas vs Toronto FC Toronto FC FC Dallas FC Dallas +115
Austin FC Austin FC vs Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC Minnesota +230
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC vs Inter Miami FC Inter Miami FC Los Angeles FC LAFC  +110
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City San Jose Earthquakes San Jose  -122
San Jose Earthquakes San Diego vs CF Montreal CF Montreal San Jose Earthquakes San Diego  -217
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers vs Columbus Crew SC Columbus Crew SC Portland Timbers Portland +185
LA Galaxy LA Galaxy vs New York City FC New York City FC LA Galaxy LA Galaxy +110
Seattle Sounders FC Seattle Sounders FC vs Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids Seattle Sounders FC Seattle  -212

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

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Cardinals St. Louis CITY SC (+145) vs Cardinals Charlotte FC (+227)

Pick: Charlotte FC moneyline (+165)

St. Louis is coming off a poor season and must find goals after the departure of leading scorer Joao Klauss.

Charlotte can’t relate, not with an attack spearheaded by the trio of Wilfried Zaha, Idan Toklomati, and Pep Biel.

That will be enough to secure a road victory.

FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati (-109) vs Atlanta United Atlanta United FC (+299)

Pick: Atlanta United moneyline (-113)

Atlanta United has reason to be excited with the offseason acquisitions they’ve made, and if this match were in the Dirty South, I’d probably take the Five Stripes to win.

But FC Cincinnati is too good at home, and Atlanta has to prove they can get a result on the road under Tata Martino before I back them to do so.

Vancouver Whitecaps FC Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-155) vs Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake (+455)

Pick: Vancouver moneyline (-154)

Thomas Müller and company have unfinished business and are one of the favorites to win the MLS Cup this season.

Diego Luna will do what he can for the visitors, but the talent gap here is far too large to overcome.

Orlando City SC Orlando City SC (-106) vs New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls (+300)

Pick: Orlando City moneyline (-108)

Michael Bradley takes over as manager of a New York side that lost 11 of their 17 away matches last season.

Orlando City is so hard to get a result against at home, and the Red Bulls looked poor in the preseason.

I’ll back the home team at this price.

D.C. United D.C. United (+275) vs Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union (+125)

Pick: Philadelphia moneyline (+115)

Philadelphia is another top pick to win the league this season, behind a stout defense that led them to a Supporters Shield a season ago.

DC United has added a lot of new pieces — including Philadelphia’s top scorer, Tai Baribo — but they’ll need time to gel.

Philly’s not the team to need to be doing that against.

Nashville SC Nashville SC (-131) vs New England Revolution New England Revolution (+395)

Pick: Nashville moneyline (-147)

Nashville still has Hany Mukhtar and Sam Surridge leading their attack, and that’s enough to beat most teams in MLS.

And while Garles Gil and Leonardo Campana give the Revs an attacking threat, the club made little improvement to a team that was quite poor a season ago.

Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo (+156) vs Chicago Fire Chicago Fire (+195)

Pick:  Draw (+250)

The Chicago Fire play on the front foot and will be going for a result from the opening whistle. 

Meanwhile, the Dynamo are opening at home for the 13th time in 14 seasons and have lost only one of those games.

Both teams have weaknesses in defense, and we should see goals with both teams sharing the spoils.

FC Dallas FC Dallas (+130) vs Toronto FC Toronto FC (+238)

Pick: FC Dallas moneyline (+115)

Dallas forward Petar Musa and the defense have improved with the addition of Malachi Molina.

Toronto struggled to find goals last season and made a big splash this week to add Josh Sargent.

However, Sargete won’t start on Saturday, and their scoring woes will continue.

Austin FC Austin FC (+136) vs Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC (+221)

Pick: Draw (+230)

The addition of James Rodriguez is massive for Minnesota, but he won’t be playing this weekend.

Austin has added some quality depth to a team that struggled to score last season, but can they score enough goals to keep up with the visiting attack?

I think this will be an entertaining stalemate.

Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC (+116) vs Inter Miami FC Inter Miami FC (+245)

Pick: LAFC moneyline (+110)

Without question, the marquee matchup of the weekend takes place in LA on Saturday night.

Lionel Messi is questionable for the match, but I’m not sure it matters.

LAFC looked frighteningly good in the Champions Cup midweek, and Miami’s defense will struggle to contain Denis Bouanga and Son Heung-min on the counter.

San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes (-111) vs Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City (+288)

Pick: San Jose moneyline (-122)

I said Montreal “may" be the worst team because Sporting Kansas City is going to give them a run for their money.

Sporting were abysmal on the road last season, conceding goals often.

Timo Werner is going to cause problems for them all day long.

San Jose Earthquakes San Diego (-214) vs CF Montreal CF Montreal (+563)

Pick: San Diego moneyline (-217)

Montreal may be the worst team in the league. They’re definitely the least-talented roster in MLS, and scored just 34 goals last season while conceding 60. 

Anders Dreyer and company should win this one with ease.

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers (+197) vs Columbus Crew SC Columbus Crew SC (+140)

Pick: Portland moneyline (+185)

Columbus is favored in this one, and it makes sense when you look at the squads.

However, Portland has never lost in six home meetings against the Crew, and a season opener at Providence Park is always a difficult occasion for visitors.

The Timbers offer great value at this price.

LA Galaxy LA Galaxy (+149) vs New York City FC New York City FC (+173)

Pick: LA Galaxy moneyline (+110)

The Galaxy has an improved squad, and looked very good in preseason and their midweek match in the CONCACAF Champions Cup.

NYCFC looked rough in their exhibition outings, and a cross-country trip to face a much more talented side won’t bear much fruit.

Seattle Sounders FC Seattle Sounders (-207) vs Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids (+543)

Pick: Seattle moneyline (-212)

The Sounders lost at home just one time in 2025, and new signings Hassani Dotson and Nikola Petkovic have hit the ground running in preseason.

Colorado is in the midst of a midfield rebuild, and the Sounders should be able to control this match from start to finish.

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Jason Ence - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jason has been hooked on football since watching Real Madrid and Manchester United in the 2003 Champions League, and has been betting on the sport for nearly 15 years. He has given soccer gambling and fantasy advice for nearly a decade, writing for sites including Rotowire, SB Nation, and The TwinSpires Edge.

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