Liverpool vs Man City Predictions, Picks & Odds for Sunday’s Premier League Match

Farley’s prediction: Expect Manchester City to carry their strong first-half form into this matchup and head into the break ahead of Liverpool.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Feb 6, 2026 • 17:37 ET • 4 min read
Erling Haaland of Man City EPL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Erling Haaland of Man City.

It's a proper Premier League Super Sunday as Liverpool host Manchester City at Anfield.

Unusually for both clubs, neither sits at the top of the table, but a win here could help, especially for Manchester City.

This doesn't feel like a vintage Pep Guardiola Manchester City side, but one habit has remained constant: they start games fast.

Liverpool, by contrast, has often taken time to settle, which is why my Liverpool vs. Manchester City predictions are backing City to lead at the interval.

Find out more in my free betting picks for February 8, with kickoff at 11:30 a.m. ET on Peacock Premium.

Premier League predictions for Liverpool vs Man City

My Liverpool vs Man City best bet: Man City to be leading at halftime (+200 at Sports Interaction)

Just eight points separate these two giants, but they've had conflicting seasons. Liverpool has managed to score in the first 45 minutes just 13 times.

Scoring just 33% of their total goals in the first half is rare among Premier League teams. On the flip side, Man City have scored the majority of their goals in the first half, with 27 in the opening 45 minutes.

City has the second-best defensive record in the league with 23 goals conceded, although they've been incredibly tight in the first half, allowing just six goals in 24 first halves. City have been winning at halftime in 16 of 24 games, while Liverpool have been losing in 33% of their games when the halftime whistle blows.

While the Etihad is rightly viewed as a fortress, City have been just as ruthless away from home in the opening stages of matches. They've led at halftime in seven of their 12 road games — more than any other team — and have trailed at the break just once.

What really stands out is their defensive control early on, conceding only two first-half goals across those 12 away fixtures. In terms of xG, just three or four goals separate Liverpool and City, although in reality, that's actually 10.

Liverpool just aren't starting games quickly and certainly nowhere near City, who are statistically the best starters in the Premier League.

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Liverpool vs Man City same-game parlay (SGP)

Man City to be leading at halftime

Erling Haaland to score

Tijjani Reijnders to commit 1+ fouls

Erling Haaland leads the Premier League goalscoring charts with 20 in 24 games.

Tijjani Reijnders is likely to start this week, and it's worth backing the Dutchman to commit a foul. He's averaging 1.07 fouls committed per 90 minutes, and given the quality in the Liverpool midfield, that should land here.

Liverpool vs Man City odds

Liverpool Liverpool Manchester City Man City
+135 Moneyline +175
+370 Draw +370
Over 2.5 (-182) Total Under 2.5 (+130)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.

How to watch Liverpool vs Man City

Location Anfield, Liverpool, England
Date Sunday, February 8, 2026
Time 11:30 a.m. ET
TV Peacock
Weather Light Rain
Liverpool Recent EPL form W-L-D-D-D
Manchester City Recent EPL form D-W-L-D-D

Liverpool vs Man City key injuries

Liverpool: Stefan Bajcetic CM (Out), Conor Bradley RB (Out), Jeremie Frimpong RB (Out), Joe Gomez DEF (Out), Alexander Isak STR (Out).
Man City: Jeremy Doku FWR (Out), Josko Gvardiol CB (Out), Mateo Kovacic CM (Out), Savinho FWR (Out), John Stones CB (Out), Bernardo Silva CM (Questionable).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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