The Champions League returns in 2026 with the seventh game week, and Tuesday sees Inter Milan welcome the group stage leaders Arsenal to San Siro.
Both teams are sitting inside the Top 8, but a defeat here gives the chasing pack a chance to catch up.
Arsenal are the only unbeaten team left in the competition and they have the defensive strength to continue that here, which is why my Inter Milan vs. Arsenal predictions expect the Gunners to add to their six victories.
Read on for my free betting picks for Tuesday, January 20.
Inter Milan vs Arsenal picks and predictions
My Inter Milan vs Arsenal best bet: Arsenal moneyline (+155 at Sports Interaction)
Both Inter and Arsenal are sitting pretty at the top of their respective domestic leagues, but it’s Arsenal who are the better team and most likely to take the three points here.
We’ve seen Arsenal score the second-most goals in the Premier League, and what’s scary is that they’re actually underachieving against xG (expected goals), which has them 4.3 goals under their current total of 40.
Despite averaging nearly two goals per game, they’re considered a defensive team, thanks in part to their fantastic backline, who have conceded just 14 league goals. For context. that's roughly 33% less than the next-best team in the league.
That defense-first strategy has been carried into the Champions League and is the main reason why they’ll win this game.
Through six games in the group stages so far, they’ve allowed just a single goal. That’s a fantastic record, and the only goal came against an exceptional Bayern Munich team. They’ve kept out elite European teams in Athletic Club and Atletico Madrid, amongst others.
Inter are a very good team but they’ve lost their only two Champions League games against what you’d consider top tier teams in Atletico Madrid and Liverpool. It’s not a direct comparison, but Liverpool beat them 1-0 at the height of their recent struggles, and Arsenal have been playing at a far higher level than Arne Slot’s team all season.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account
Inter Milan vs Arsenal same-game parlay (SGP)
Arsenal moneyline
Both teams to score – No
Under 2.5
This is a defensively exceptional Arsenal team who have kept five clean sheets from six games in the competition, as well as all three games on the road. They’ve also already racked up 11 clean sheets domestically, too.
To wrap this SGP up, we’re also taking Under 2.5 goals.
With defensive injuries, we’re likely to see Mikel Arteta really focus on keeping things tight here. Three of Inter’s past four games in all competitions have finished with Under 2.5 goals.
It’s hard to see Inter scoring, which means Inter having the second-best defensive record in the UCL, conceding just four goals, becomes key here. This should finish 1-0 or 2-0 Gunners.
Inter Milan vs Arsenal odds
Inter Milan vs Arsenal odds
 Inter Milan |
 Arsenal |
|
|---|---|---|
| +165 | Moneyline | +155 |
| +240 | Draw | +240 |
| Over 2.5 (-115) | Total | Under 2.5 (-120) |
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction.
Inter Milan vs Arsenal opening odds
- Moneyline: Inter Milan +165 | Arsenal +155
- Draw: +240
- Over/Under: Over 2.5 | Under 2.5
How to watch Inter Milan vs Arsenal
| Location | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano, Italy |
| Date | Tuesday, January 20, 2026 |
| Time | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Paramount+ |
| Weather | 45F, calm and clear. |
Inter Milan vs Arsenal key injuries
Inter Milan: Hakan Calhanoglu CM (Out), Denzel Dumfries RWB (Out).
Arsenal: Max Dowman FWR (Out), Riccardo Calafiori DEF (Out), Cristhian Mosquera CB (Out), Piero Hincapie DEF (Out).
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
