Everton vs Manchester City Predictions, Picks & Odds Monday’s Premier League Match

Jason Ence - Contributor at Covers.com
Jason Ence • Betting Analyst 13+ years betting experience
Updated: May 3, 2026 , 05:35 PM ET • 4 min read

Ence's prediction: Man City keeps pace with Arsenal by defeating Everton without breaking much of a sweat.

Rayan Cherki Manchester City Premier League Soccer
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Rayan Cherki of Manchester City applauds support at full time during a Emirates FA Cup Semi-Final match

Manchester City must navigate a visit to Everton if they hope to keep pace with Arsenal in the Premier League title race.

They enter Monday’s bank holiday with two matches in hand and a six-point gap behind the Gunners, but have won six straight in all competitions.

I explain why they’ll hand the Toffees a third straight defeat in my Everton vs. Manchester City predictions and free betting picks on Monday, May 4.

Premier League predictions for Everton vs Manchester City

My Everton vs Manchester City best bet: Manchester City to win and Everton not to score (+155 at Sports Interaction)

The pressure is on Manchester City after Arsenal’s win on Saturday. They’ll be happy to see an Everton side they’ve defeated in each of their last nine meetings.

City rank second in the Premier League in both shots on target and conversion rate per match. They’ll score against an Everton defense allowing opponents to score 90.24% of their goals inside the penalty area.

On the flip side, Everton are underperforming their xG by 7.07 goals. Their 39 goals are the fifth fewest in the league.

They’ll be shut out by a Man City defense allowing just 3.33 SOT per match.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Everton vs Manchester City same-game parlay (SGP)

Manchester City to win/Everton not to score

Rayan Cherki 1+ shots on target

James Tarkowski 1+ fouls

Rayan Cherki is in top form. He attempted a season-high eight shots against Burnley, testing the keeper twice. 

He’s managed a shot on target in four straight Premier League outings, and in six of his last eight matches across all competitions.  

James Tarkowski and Erling Haaland will be a physical matchup, and Tarkowski is likely to get whistled at least once for a foul. He’s committed seven fouls over his last six matches.

Tarkowski has committed a foul in four of the last five meetings with Manchester City, with the lone exception being last season when he came off injured early in the second half.

Everton vs Manchester City odds

Everton vs Manchester City live odds

How to watch Everton vs Manchester City

Location Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, England
Date Monday, May 4, 2026
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV USA Network
Weather 53F, 0% PoP, wind 10-18 mph
Everton  Recent EPL form L-L-D-W-L
Manchester City  Recent EPL form W-W-W-D-D

Everton vs Manchester City key injuries

Everton: MF Jack Grealish (Out), CB Jarrad Branthwaite (Out).
Manchester City: CB Josko Gvardiol (Out), CM Rodri (Doubtful), CB Ruben Dias (Doubtful).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Jason Ence - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jason has been hooked on football since watching Real Madrid and Manchester United in the 2003 Champions League, and has been betting on the sport for nearly 15 years. He has given soccer gambling and fantasy advice for nearly a decade, writing for sites including Rotowire, SB Nation, and The TwinSpires Edge.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo