Chelsea vs Man City Predictions, Picks & Odds for Sunday’s Premier League Match

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 10, 2026 , 11:45 AM ET • 4 min read

Farley's Prediction: Manchester City escapes with a victory.

Erling Haaland of Man City EPL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Erling Haaland of Man City EPL

It’s crunch time in the Premier League, and Chelsea’s game against Manchester City is probably the visitors' last chance to launch a title bid.

Man City are nine points behind Arsenal, who play on Saturday, but they have a game in hand, and a matchup against each other yet to come.

That means they must win on Sunday, and our Chelsea vs. Manchester City predictions reflect that by taking City at plus money to win.

Read on for my Premier League picks for Sunday, April 12, with kickoff at 11:30 a.m. ET on USA Network.

Premier League predictions for Chelsea vs Man City

My Chelsea vs Man City best bet: Man City moneyline (+115 at Sports Interaction)

Man City are outsiders for the title, but they’re still in with a chance, and City have only lost one game in the league since December.

City are averaging two goals per game while conceding fewer than one, and they produce 14.7 shots per match with 5.2 on target, both tied for second in the Premier League.

Meanwhile, Chelsea have lost four of their previous five games in all competitions and conceded 12 goals in that timeframe, despite keeping one clean sheet.

City have also won three of the past four meetings between the teams at Stamford Bridge, keeping three clean sheets and scoring eight goals.

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Chelsea vs Man City same-game parlay (SGP)

Erling Haaland to score

Antoine Semenyo 1+ shot on target

Moises Caicedo to be shown a card

Erling Haaland leads the race for the Golden Boot with 22 goals and returned from the international break with a bang, scoring a hat trick against Liverpool last week. He’s also scored four times in seven meetings against Chelsea.

City’s Antoine Semenyo has averaged 1.02 shots on target per 90 minutes on the field since his arrival from Bournemouth in January.

Averaging 1.69 fouls committed per game, Moises Caicedo can be overly physical and rash at times, which is why he’s already been shown 10 cards in the Premier League this season.

Chelsea vs Man City odds

Chelsea vs Man City live odds

Chelsea vs Man City opening odds

  • Moneyline: Chelsea +200 | Man City +115
  • Draw: +290
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-192) | Under 2.5 (+137)

How to watch Chelsea vs Man City

Location Stamford Bridge, London, England
Date Sunday, April 12, 2026
Time 11:30 a.m. ET
TV USA Network
Weather Partly Sunny
Chelsea Recent EPL form L-W-D-L-W
Manchester City Recent EPL form W-D-W-W-W

Chelsea vs Man City key injuries

Chelsea: Trevor Chalobah CB (Out), Jamie Gittens FWR (Out), Enzo Fernandez CM (Out), Mykhailio Mudryk FWR (Out), Reece James RB (Questionable), Benoit Badiashile CB (Questionable).
Man City: Josko Gvardiol DEF (Out), Ruben Dias CB (Questionable), John Stones CB (Questionable).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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