Burnley vs Man City Predictions, Picks & Odds for Wednesday's Premier League Match

Emanuel Rosu - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Emanuel Rosu • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 21, 2026 , 05:14 PM ET • 4 min read

Rosu's prediction: The flood gates open up at Turf Moor.

Manchester City's Erling Haaland reacts after his shirt is ripped.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Manchester City's Erling Haaland reacts after his shirt is ripped.

Manchester City find themselves in a position they wouldn’t have dared to hope for just a few weeks ago. If they beat second-from-bottom Burnley, they will go top of the Premier League table.

City should make a statement and win this match without too much trouble as they build momentum for the final five games of the Premier League campaign.

I’m expecting goals and entertainment in Burnley on Wednesday evening.

Read why in my Burnley vs. Man City predictions and free betting picks for April 22.

Premier League predictions for Burnley vs Man City

My Burnley vs Man City best bet: Over 3.5 goals (-115 at Sports Interaction)

Manchester City have won their last 14 matches against Burnley in all competitions, scoring at least two goals in each of the last 11. When the sides met in Manchester in September, City ran out 5–1 winners.

Three of the last four head-to-head meetings have produced at least four goals, with the other ending with three. City are in excellent form, scoring 11 goals across their last four competitive matches and conceding just once.

They have beaten Liverpool 4–0, Chelsea 3–0, and Arsenal twice during this run, so Burnley look like just another victim.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Burnley vs Man City same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 3.5 goals

Over 9.5 corners

Erling Haaland 2+ goals

Rayan Cherki 1+ shots on target

Man City average almost six corners per game, the third-highest in the Premier League, behind Newcastle and Chelsea. They will look to assert themselves in Burnley’s half, so I expect plenty of opportunities from set pieces.

Erling Haaland has scored seven goals in four previous games against Burnley, averaging a goal every 36 minutes against the Clarets. He ended a four-match drought with his strike against Arsenal at the weekend, and I expect him to keep delivering in this midweek clash.

To push my parlay to an appealing +675 return, I’m also including in-form Rayan Cherki, who also found the net against Arsenal on Sunday.

Burnley vs Man City odds

Burnley vs Man City live odds

How to watch Burnley vs Man City

Location Turf Moor, Burnley, England
Date Wednesday, April 22, 2026
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV USA Network
Weather Text
Burnley Recent EPL form L-L-D-L-L
Man City Recent EPL form W-W-D-D-W

Burnley vs Man City key injuries

Burnley: Connor Roberts (Out), Jordan Beyer (Out), Josh Cullen (Out), Hannibal Mejbri (Out), Zeki Amdouni (Out).
Man City: Josko Gvardiol (Out), Ruben Dias (Questionable).

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Emanuel Rosu
Betting Analyst

Emanuel Roșu studied public administration but only to have a degree in something. He was always passionate about football. Writing about it, that is, as we've seen him play and he should feel fortunate he never took that road. He is based in Bucharest and has reported on Champions League, Europa League, and European Championship matches for various media outlets in Europe. He wrote stories for The Guardian, BBC, FourFourTwo, and many more. He represents Romania in the vote for the "Ballon d'Or", the most important individual trophy in world football.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo