Shirley's level II totals for Wednesday

HI,

I am about 50% of the way done after 6 hours of work. This will get easier as now I am establishing the data base for future reference.

My record is 1-1 with Level II selections, and I wish to ad a comment.

In the past, as I was watching a game, I noticed more times than not, no matter what was transpiring, the total seemed to ZOOM towards my number.

It was like in the Michigan State game last night. The 1H was uncharacteristically high scoring, but all the extra energy expended, and the coaches berating, made the game ZOOM towards my lower prediction. I did not watch the game, but did look at the play-by-play, after returning home from Disney yesterday.

If everything goes according to Hoyle, this phenomenon will repeat itself many times.

The lines and the Level II selections:

1) Eastern carolina UNDER 130.5       My line  118.25

2) Eastern carolina UNDER 1H 61       My line 52.25

3) Wake Forest OVER 149                 My line 162.25

4) Deleware OVER 131                       My line   138.75

5) Duke     UNDER  151                     My line  143.5

6) Duke UNDER 1H 71                       My line  58.875

7)  W. Mich UNDER 124.5                   My line   115

8) W Mich UNDER 1H 61                    My line  56.5

9)  Rhode Is. UNDER 139                   My line    128.75

10) RI UNDER 1H 65                          My line 59.75

I still have a lot more to do, but really need a break.

I wish to ad that I wish I had a little more data to support these selections, but in general, I beleive my numbers to be in the right direction.

I also have some dynamic 2H predictions, that I have kept out, because of time constraints.

I will include one of these.

Wake Forest 2H prediction : 88.75

Wake Forest 2H prediced book line : 79

This would represent a Level II selection as well.

Remember, play only game spreads that differ from my line by at least 7 points AND play 1/2 time spreads that differ from my line by 4 or more points.

If I have the energy, I will finish the card and post it within this thread.

BOL

Shirley

HI,

I'm pretty sure it will be in the 79 range, and also my prediction is 88.75. Maybe it will fall in between our 2 numbers!

We'll see.

Also, I didn't mean to highlight part of that message, my apologies. I'm not sure how that happened.

BOL,

Totally...........Shirley

NO!

This is as far as I can go. I have other ideas, quite creative, I think, but they will have to wait for another season, perhaps.

Anyway, Sparty what's your problem today?

My level I totals record is 12-14

Level II totals record is 1-1

You can look it up. I'm not hiding it.

How about contributing something constructive to the thread, like yesterday.

Tell me if you thought my total number for the game was better than the books or not.

Also, can you tell me what the 2H TOTAL WAS? I posted my line. Did I have a winning play? Was my number 4 points of more from the books? I didn't think it was a wager, but maybe since y'all saw the 1H go high, it was bet into oblivion, creating a winning wager for me. Let me know, thanks.

Please comment on my games today.

We love you Sparty

Shirley

Shirely

you're doing a great job.

do you have a personal favorite 2day?

Thanx

I think I like the DYNAMIC 2H over wager on Wake Forest. I think this team comes out with alot of energy, and can get into a fou-a thon, if needed.

Shirley

I need to makr a correction on a wager.

I am omitting the east Carolina game wager of under 130.5

My line is 125.75, NOT 118.25 as posted above.

Thw 1H wager for this game is still a play, just not the game, because it is not 7 points from my prediction. I still believe there is an edge, just not enough to warrant a large wager.

My aplogies,

Shirley

For someone so-called versed in math you just don't think like a mathematician/scientist.  I have a bunch of friends who are and they all think like me. Scientists are skeptics seraching for truth. In the scientific community things are not taken on faith...they are proven with facts and evidence.

When I see someone posting totals and rambling on about how good they are I become skeptical. When you get off to a slow start and I start seeing level 2 picks I get even more skeptical...why? Because nothing was initially mentioned about different levels of picks... you just claimed you were great.

So... based on the fact we have seen you do less than average on sides...and less than average on initial totals... made me ask the question of "will we see a level 3?"  And based on what I have seen thus far its a fair question to ask.

When it comes to what you consider productive thats a different issue. Some consider honesty and transparency to be a petty issue. I find it to be the heart and soul of the issue.

You were dishonest on your record at the beginning which is a no-no to me. If you keep an accurate record and drop the drama I have no issues with you.  Just share your information and thoughts and leave it at that.  If your good your record will do all the talking you need

Just post your picks-insight-analysis without the drama. We don't need different levels of picks and we don't need excuses.

I warned you yesterday about the Spartan game... I told you MSU plays well 1st half on the road

Since we BOTH are totals specialists, why are we differing in our opinions on this game.

I have my personal 1H total 3.75 points that the books. if this number is achieved, or reached, I believe that it could even go a 1/2 point higher.

I am wagering over 2H Wake, regardless. As you well know, the work is done now, not at game time.

I enjoy your insightfulness. Thank you!

Shirley

I understand your point, however I have never been dishonest with you.

Additionally, all of my past years results have passed statistical tests with flying colors, I'm not lying about it. there are many arenas in the gambling world that yield positive expectation, college BB is just one of them for me.

You're observations about Mich St 1h are noted, and you were right, but I was right for the game in spite of the 1H. The total went zooming towards my prediction. I still lost over 5K going 1-1.  I can afford it, but i want to be right, and am disappointed.

Again, I think it all comes back to me releasing a play at -7.5, and while i was doing the writeup the line went to 6.5, which was available for almost the entire day, noon - 6:50 PM.

Since I also mentioned to not wager more than 7.5, and at the tiem of posting, the line WAS -6.5 EVERYWHERE. You still insist on counting it as a loser.

YOU ARE SMARTER THAN THAT! Is it reasonable that someone would search for a worse line that might exist at 1 of 100 sports books to wage into. This is where i have a problem with you. You have fabricated the facts. Look and think like an attorney, and you will see a clearer picture, not distorted information.

Either way, 1-1 Level II

12-14 Level 1

3-2 sides (but we're not counting sides)

What was the 2H total last night, you never addressed that question.

WE LOVE YOU SPARTY

Shirley

Hi Shirley

If you don't mind me asking.....what is going on with the woman in your avatar? Is that you?

Your missing the point...if your making the wagers you post it shouldn't matter to you really. If you had the lower line and won thats fine...but for record keeping here you should go with the line you had listed/posted. And you clearly had it listed at 7.5... I can post the thread here if need be...but shouldn't need to do that.

Often times lines more for or against the line we have posted on here. But for record keeping you should use the line posted on here. Do you not understand that concept?

If you won you really shouldn't care... why not just humble us by changing it so you don't have to worry about it anymore? If you won with the lower line thats all that matters anyway...right? Its about the money

Rjsizzle... another honest poster

Cburk,  You are an alias of rjsizzle...I have zero doubt of that now.I suspected you were...but that post proves it to me