Write ups will be coming in a bit. Internet trouble all morning. Play as listed.
Hawaii Warriors +3.5
Alabama Birmingham +11.5
Vanderbilt Commodores +10.5
California Golden Bears -10
Waiting for a line move on one more. I will keep you guys posted.
Good luck today! 
What are the unit plays ?? Thx
On a day filled with huge games like today, its good to stay far away from the big games and pick your spots on the outside. What I did today was pick out three dogs which I feel are undervalued and over looked by the betting public and their opponents. I feel all three can win the game outright despite the two who are double digit underdogs.
UAB and Vanderbilt are two feisty underdogs today. Both teams are coming off 1 and 2 point losses in their week one games. UAB lost as a 13 point favourite and Vandy fell as a 3 point dog. What seems to be the case in games with a double digit point spread early in the college season is a early charge by the underdog against a relaxed over looking favourite, or a early barrage from the favourite followed by a late charge and back door cover by the underdog. What I foresee happening this afternoon is an early charge by the double digit dogs. I see early scores from UAB and Vandy pushing the 10 and 11 point spreads up to 17-20. In Vanderbilt’s case they have a conference game against LSU. Historically these have been very low scoring games with the four past meetings with a line all falling short of the number. An early score from the Commodores at home sets us up phenomenally for the remainder of the game. With the total set at 45, I see the Commodores needing to score somewhere between 14-20 points to secure the cover.
Hawaii should be a field goal favourite in my opinion; here they are getting three points against Army. The Warriors passing attack is going to be too much for the Black Knights to handle. When we play against this Independent coming off an ATS win, we are a profitable 75% in the last 11 games. The Black Knights let up against opponents in their next game after putting up 200+ yards on the ground in the previous game dropping 7 of their last 7. As we all should know by the now, the Warriors of Hawaii roll off momentum. Any time Hawaii has scored over 40 points in a game, they have covered the next game at a 61% rate dating back 3 seasons. Recently they have dominated their out of conference schedule covering 4 of their last 5 games.
My fourth pick was the double digit favourite in California. These Bears fit into a system I found for Pac 10 teams coming off a 450+ yard performance in their last game playing a non conference opponent at home. Going all the way back to the Fall of 1988, this has cashed in for players at a 62% rate. Last week the Bears put up 517 yards against a UC Davis team that should stick to books rather than football. The Bears have the offensive firepower to put up 35-45 points against this Buffaloes defense today which will be plenty to cover the spread against a team from the Rockies that struggles in this spot. Colorado has covered just 3 of their last 10 coming off a win. They have also been beat up playing teams from the Pac-10 covering just 1 of their last 5. The books set this one a little bit too low at 10, I saw it being somewhere around 14.
Well that is a look at Saturday. There is one more game out there I have my eye on, I will keep you posted. Time to hit the couch and watch these games unfold, talk to you guys throughout the day in the forums.
Good Luck.
Hawaii Warriors +3.5
Alabama Birmingham +11.5
Vanderbilt Commodores +10.5
California Golden Bears -10
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