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MLB Picks for Sunday August 16th

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Overall currently at  82-63-1  and  + $2,902

 

(Yesterday) Friday August  14th  results  were  1-5  and  -$1,202

Team Total Over 3.5  NY Mets  (Line -130) Risk $260 –Win $200

ML San Diego Padres (Line +100) Risk $200 –Win $200

ML Toronto Blue Jays (Line -130) Risk $260 –Win $200

ML Tampa Bay Rays (Line -144) Risk $432 –Win $300

ML Washington Nationals (Line +103) Risk $450 –Win $464

 

Any later picks they’ll be listed in the comments of this thread approximately 15 minutes before 1st pitch.

Today’s Picks IN BLUE ONLY:

ML  Chicago White Sox  (Line -192) Risk $384 –Win $200

RL  Chicago White Sox (RL +110 ) Risk $200 –Win $220

ML Baltimore Orioles (Line -165) Risk $330 –Win $200

 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
BOL bro
 
Veteran
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Posted: #3
GL j 
 
Rookie
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Posted: #4
GL Today.
 
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RL STL Cardinals (Line -110) Risk $110 –Win $100

 
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Thanks  SoulCall, TheGutDecision, & BountyHunter. I appreciate it guys
 
Prospect
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Posted: #7
I'm on it! Thanks!
 
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ML  San Diego Padres ( Line -105) $420 –Win $400

 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
Gettin worried about that Orioles bet..... I have the runline too
 
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RL  LA Dodgers  (RL -105) Risk $210 –Win $200

 
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I apologize brothers, I thought I posted the  LAD RL earlier 
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by SoulCall:

Gettin worried about that Orioles bet..... I have the runline too

Yeah it will probably come down to the wire, we just have to wait it out  
 
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ML KC Royals (Line -123) Risk $492 –Win $400

 
Prospect
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Posted: #14
BOL on the 4-3
 
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Posted: #16
That Kc win really pulled you out of the red today. nice job
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by JustTrynaGetBy:

That Kc win really pulled you out of the red today. nice job

Red...Black ...today, yesterday, tomorrow, all basically meaningless... I win days, I lose days, win mostly every week, but always, I repeat ALWAYS end up with Book $ in my bank account.  I honestly can't comprehend how such a super high percentage of players put so much emphasis on individual days when their focus should be producing winning weeks to attain the only real goal that matters... being there at the end of the season with a pocket full of cash
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by JustTrynaGetBy:

That Kc win really pulled you out of the red today. nice job

Wasn't being a smart a$$ to you JTGB, just noticing how much people focus on that daily, EVERY daily result all over this forum.  Thanks and have a great night brother
 
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Posted: #19
Not like it's a bad thing to be up for the day though, amirite? Was kinda close there at the end even tho I could tell Angels would blow it bottom of the 9th lol... (I had bet on Angels before you posted )
 
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Quote Originally Posted by SoulCall:

Not like it's a bad thing to be up for the day though, amirite? Was kinda close there at the end even tho I could tell Angels would blow it bottom of the 9th lol... (I had bet on Angels before you posted )

No question about it SoulCall, I'd take winning a day over losing one non-stop, but my point is that you see all these threads of people melting down because of a losing day.  Losing days are going to happen to everyone, though I hope to never have another, reality dictates that I will have one, two, and more.  If you really look at it, you will see guys go on hot streaks that last days, a week, or more, have a losing day and then they nose dive.  That is not a karmic adjustment, things evening out to nature, or anything else more than their either chasing, or playing scared and doubting themselves because they have that losing day lingering constantly.  Sorry to hear you were on the Angels, but bottom of the 9th with Houston Street in to close?  29 of 30 times that works out for you brother, just a stroke of unlikely happenstance.

 

Peace brother, and BOL tomorrow!

 
Prospect
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Posted: #21
I get what you're saying. I guess we just read that dude's post differently? I'm new here, maybe I just missed something.

I definitely appreciate your picks as well as your input such as above. I'm no sports handicapper. My background is in poker and all of the above applies (as far as variance and BRM) there as well and probably couldn't be said enough times.

Despite the Angels I tailed all the others and along with my other bets I only took an insignificant loss which is fine by me. Was a fun day

Thank you again!
 
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Posted: #22
Howdy Buddy,

Thanks for pushing me over the edge on the late Royals Play. Was having trouble pulling the trigger, but your Play convinced me to hit it. I unfortunately also Played the Royals TTo4 (pushed) and Angels TTo3.5 (lost), so didn't net that much, but a win, is a win

I know you don't get into the emotional daily highs and lows, but today was particularly tough with Kolten Wong's 2 errors costing the Cardinals directly 4 runs, and the game. I had the Card's in 2 separate Parlays (I know you don't typically like Parlays- but I had to lower the juice, so Played a RR w/ Cards, Brewers and Dodgers and another with the Cardinals RL and Orioles ML) plus a single Play on their RL, so that 1 loss was the difference in a huge winning day, and a small losing day.

But you know what the good thing is? We still have tomorrow.

Which brings up a question I'd like your opinion on. In cases of 2 teams you feel very strong about, but the juice is too high, which of the 3 options would you recommend. Example today. Cardinals (-223) and Brewers (-180). Would you pay the high juice on the ML, risk the close game on the 1.5RL, or Parlay the 2 on the ML's? I'm sure each situation is different, but what would be your general rule of thumb, as I've seen you Play both ways?

Sorry about the long drawn out Post, but you know I've always respected your take as "Spot On" and would like your spin on it if you have time.

Thanks, and congrats on another winning day (think you only lost Cards and Padres, as did I), and Good Luck tomorrow
 
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Posted: #23
You're completely right. It's the number at the end of the week that matters most, and I'm not debating that. Just saying being up daily even if just a little is a good day in my books. GL this week
 
 
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