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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    MLB Picks for Tuesday August 4th

    12 Next Last»
    jstaley12
    cepbanks
    hwgfb
    iamsok
    CFK21
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 1496
    Posts: 27
    12 Next Last»
     
    jstaley12
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 6:53 PM ET #1

    REPORTING NOTICE:  Reporting debacle on yesterday’s (Monday’s) original post stated on “Last day” (Sunday’s) that I went 0-4 and -$1100, and reported my overall results to  53-37-1  AND  +$2828, Sunday’s SF Giant’s loss was listed and counted twice (losing -$400 instead of -$200, and counted as 2 losses), The actual numbers and totals are (as stated in the correction in reply #2):

    I actually went 0-3 and -$880, bringing my correct Overall results to 53-36-1  and  $+3048

     

    Tuesday’s Overall currently at  55-36-1  and  + $3,448

    Any later picks they’ll be listed in the comments of this thread approximately 15 minutes before 1st pitch.

    Today’s Picks IN BLUE ONLY:

    >> ML   SF Giants -123 (Line -123) Risk $246 –Win $200

    >> ML  NY Mets -123 (Line -123) Risk $123 –Win $100

     Monday Aug. 3rd results  were  2-0  and  $400

    >>ML   San Diego Padres (Line +100) Risk $200 –Win $200

    >>ML  LA Angels (Line -112) $Risk $224 –Win $200

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    REPORTING NOTICE:  Reporting debacle on yesterday’s (Monday’s) original post stated on “Last day” (Sunday’s) that I went 0-4 and -$1100, and reported my overall results to  53-37-1  AND  +$2828, Sunday’s SF Giant’s loss was listed and counted twice (losing -$400 instead of -$200, and counted as 2 losses), The actual numbers and totals are (as stated in the correction in reply #2):

    I actually went 0-3 and -$880, bringing my correct Overall results to 53-36-1  and  $+3048

     

    Tuesday’s Overall currently at  55-36-1  and  + $3,448

    Any later picks they’ll be listed in the comments of this thread approximately 15 minutes before 1st pitch.

    Today’s Picks IN BLUE ONLY:

    >> ML   SF Giants -123 (Line -123) Risk $246 –Win $200

    >> ML  NY Mets -123 (Line -123) Risk $123 –Win $100

     Monday Aug. 3rd results  were  2-0  and  $400

    >>ML   San Diego Padres (Line +100) Risk $200 –Win $200

    >>ML  LA Angels (Line -112) $Risk $224 –Win $200

     
    cepbanks
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 7:01 PM ET #2

    BOL 
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    BOL 
     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 7:14 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by cepbanks:

    BOL 

    Thanks cepbanks, same to you 
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    Quote Originally Posted by cepbanks:

    BOL 

    Thanks cepbanks, same to you 
     
    hwgfb
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 7:32 PM ET #4

    BOL   
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    BOL   
     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 7:42 PM ET #5

    >> ML LA Angels (Line -116) Risk $116 –Win $100

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    >> ML LA Angels (Line -116) Risk $116 –Win $100

     
    iamsok
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 7:47 PM ET #6

    BOL today jstaley! Wish i saw this early, woulda taken giants with ya!!!
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    BOL today jstaley! Wish i saw this early, woulda taken giants with ya!!!
     
    CFK21
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 7:50 PM ET #7

    What do you think about Orioles?
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    What do you think about Orioles?
     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 7:52 PM ET #8

    >> ML Milwaukee Brewers (Line -123) Risk $123 –Win $100

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    >> ML Milwaukee Brewers (Line -123) Risk $123 –Win $100

     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 7:54 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by iamsok:

    BOL today jstaley! Wish i saw this early, woulda taken giants with ya!!!

    Hey brother, yeah I post 10 minutes prior to first pitch normally.  BOL Tonight 
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    Quote Originally Posted by iamsok:

    BOL today jstaley! Wish i saw this early, woulda taken giants with ya!!!

    Hey brother, yeah I post 10 minutes prior to first pitch normally.  BOL Tonight 
     
    jstaley12
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 7:55 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by CFK21:

    What do you think about Orioles?

    Can't see any value there.  Too many variables for my taste 
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    Quote Originally Posted by CFK21:

    What do you think about Orioles?

    Can't see any value there.  Too many variables for my taste 
     
    CFK21
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 8:12 PM ET #11

    Yeah was eying Angels thought about Orioles.. Good luck tonight 
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    Yeah was eying Angels thought about Orioles.. Good luck tonight 
     
    hwgfb
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 8:13 PM ET #12

    Thanks jstaley12   
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    Thanks jstaley12   
     
    Seadoo14
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 8:32 PM ET #13

    Good luck tonight Staley. Keep running
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    Good luck tonight Staley. Keep running
     
    Hog_Wild
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 9:13 PM ET #14

    Good Evening jstaley,

    Getting back to you on last nights Live discussion. I was letting you know that I wasn't doing very well Capping before the games, and was more profitable on my Live wagers. I do agree with you that the Books definitely have the upper hand- be it the pre game, or Live wagering. Anyway, I respect the fact that you're not a believer in it, as I can tell you take your time doing your due diligence, and making an educated, rather than a snap decision.

    With that being said, great night last night, and good luck tonight. I got home from work late and wasn't able to look at anything, but I did put in Plays on the Mets, Cubs and Royals earlier, so glad to see you on the Mets, even though we have a 1-1 tie. Too bad I didn't get on your other 2 Plays as you're winning both of them

    I'm also liking the late Angels Play. Hopefully another sweep for you tonight

     

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    Good Evening jstaley,

    Getting back to you on last nights Live discussion. I was letting you know that I wasn't doing very well Capping before the games, and was more profitable on my Live wagers. I do agree with you that the Books definitely have the upper hand- be it the pre game, or Live wagering. Anyway, I respect the fact that you're not a believer in it, as I can tell you take your time doing your due diligence, and making an educated, rather than a snap decision.

    With that being said, great night last night, and good luck tonight. I got home from work late and wasn't able to look at anything, but I did put in Plays on the Mets, Cubs and Royals earlier, so glad to see you on the Mets, even though we have a 1-1 tie. Too bad I didn't get on your other 2 Plays as you're winning both of them

    I'm also liking the late Angels Play. Hopefully another sweep for you tonight

     

     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 9:44 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by hwgfb:

    Thanks jstaley12   

    NP bro.  GL 
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    Quote Originally Posted by hwgfb:

    Thanks jstaley12   

    NP bro.  GL 
     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 9:48 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by Seadoo14:

    Good luck tonight Staley. Keep running

    Not being cocky Seadoo, really I am not, but I am not running, it is a comfortable stroll.  Always make money, not everyday, but in the long run every single time, every season.  Just being honest my brother
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seadoo14:

    Good luck tonight Staley. Keep running

    Not being cocky Seadoo, really I am not, but I am not running, it is a comfortable stroll.  Always make money, not everyday, but in the long run every single time, every season.  Just being honest my brother
     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 9:50 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by CFK21:

    Yeah was eying Angels thought about Orioles.. Good luck tonight 

    I hope you win no matter what you play 
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    Quote Originally Posted by CFK21:

    Yeah was eying Angels thought about Orioles.. Good luck tonight 

    I hope you win no matter what you play 
     
    Seadoo14
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 10:00 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by jstaley12:

    Quote Originally Posted by Seadoo14:

    Good luck tonight Staley. Keep running
    Not being cocky Seadoo, really I am not, but I am not running, it is a comfortable stroll.  Always make money, not everyday, but in the long run every single time, every season.  Just being honest my brother


    Humbled. Well put. Fairly new to game and realizing that's the key to success. It's a marathon not a sprint. Continued success
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    Quote Originally Posted by jstaley12:

    Quote Originally Posted by Seadoo14:

    Good luck tonight Staley. Keep running
    Not being cocky Seadoo, really I am not, but I am not running, it is a comfortable stroll.  Always make money, not everyday, but in the long run every single time, every season.  Just being honest my brother


    Humbled. Well put. Fairly new to game and realizing that's the key to success. It's a marathon not a sprint. Continued success
     
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2015 - 10:05 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by Hog_Wild:

    Good Evening jstaley,

    Getting back to you on last nights Live discussion. I was letting you know that I wasn't doing very well Capping before the games, and was more profitable on my Live wagers. I do agree with you that the Books definitely have the upper hand- be it the pre game, or Live wagering. Anyway, I respect the fact that you're not a believer in it, as I can tell you take your time doing your due diligence, and making an educated, rather than a snap decision.

    With that being said, great night last night, and good luck tonight. I got home from work late and wasn't able to look at anything, but I did put in Plays on the Mets, Cubs and Royals earlier, so glad to see you on the Mets, even though we have a 1-1 tie. Too bad I didn't get on your other 2 Plays as you're winning both of them

    I'm also liking the late Angels Play. Hopefully another sweep for you tonight

     


    Hi ya Hog,

    I answered somewhat quickly today because I was in the middle of handicapping today’s action.

     

    Think of it like this, the Sportsbook have very  the upper hand because they have the best people in the industry deciphering, evaluating, planning, and implementing the business.  These men (almost 100% men) are even keeled, non-emotional, and damn intelligent mathematical wizards.  The best of us have to be on our game all the time to beat them.  They set games the most unfair way they can get away with.  Contrary to popular belief the sports books do not always keep even action on both sides so they are guaranteed to win by way of juice only, that just isn’t the case, some games they are heavily invested in with heavily uneven action.  The key is recognizing which games these are, and riding the same side, or total.  There are other games that they do keep the action 50/50 and allow the line to become way out of balance, those are the other games you want to recognize and ride.  The other games?  Those are the ones you steer as far clear of that you can.  Those are the games that devastate bankrolls, the coin flip games that bettors have good ‘feelings’ about .

    Anyway, to beat baseball, or any other sport you need to know what you are doing, work your butt off leaving no stone unturned, recognize what the sportsbooks are doing by watching what the public is doing and how the line is moving, and be up to date on every aspect of the game, then you can beat the game, but spontaneous plays or Live Bets, you might as well find one other bettor who is indulging in these and the two of you flip coins for your wages and cut the sportsbook out of it and at least one of you will make money.

     

    Peace 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hog_Wild:

    Good Evening jstaley,

    Getting back to you on last nights Live discussion. I was letting you know that I wasn't doing very well Capping before the games, and was more profitable on my Live wagers. I do agree with you that the Books definitely have the upper hand- be it the pre game, or Live wagering. Anyway, I respect the fact that you're not a believer in it, as I can tell you take your time doing your due diligence, and making an educated, rather than a snap decision.

    With that being said, great night last night, and good luck tonight. I got home from work late and wasn't able to look at anything, but I did put in Plays on the Mets, Cubs and Royals earlier, so glad to see you on the Mets, even though we have a 1-1 tie. Too bad I didn't get on your other 2 Plays as you're winning both of them

    I'm also liking the late Angels Play. Hopefully another sweep for you tonight

     


    Hi ya Hog,

    I answered somewhat quickly today because I was in the middle of handicapping today’s action.

     

    Think of it like this, the Sportsbook have very  the upper hand because they have the best people in the industry deciphering, evaluating, planning, and implementing the business.  These men (almost 100% men) are even keeled, non-emotional, and damn intelligent mathematical wizards.  The best of us have to be on our game all the time to beat them.  They set games the most unfair way they can get away with.  Contrary to popular belief the sports books do not always keep even action on both sides so they are guaranteed to win by way of juice only, that just isn’t the case, some games they are heavily invested in with heavily uneven action.  The key is recognizing which games these are, and riding the same side, or total.  There are other games that they do keep the action 50/50 and allow the line to become way out of balance, those are the other games you want to recognize and ride.  The other games?  Those are the ones you steer as far clear of that you can.  Those are the games that devastate bankrolls, the coin flip games that bettors have good ‘feelings’ about .

    Anyway, to beat baseball, or any other sport you need to know what you are doing, work your butt off leaving no stone unturned, recognize what the sportsbooks are doing by watching what the public is doing and how the line is moving, and be up to date on every aspect of the game, then you can beat the game, but spontaneous plays or Live Bets, you might as well find one other bettor who is indulging in these and the two of you flip coins for your wages and cut the sportsbook out of it and at least one of you will make money.

     

    Peace 

     
    W0LF
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    Posted: Aug. 5, 2015 - 12:04 AM ET #20

    looks like another close game for the Angels
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    looks like another close game for the Angels
     
    Bredren_Jo
    Bredren_Jo
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    Posted: Aug. 5, 2015 - 12:37 AM ET #21

    Angels look unmotivated tonight! they win 1 and gets comfortable. Smdh! They need to wake up!
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    Angels look unmotivated tonight! they win 1 and gets comfortable. Smdh! They need to wake up!
     
    Hog_Wild
    Hog_Wild
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    Posted: Aug. 5, 2015 - 12:49 AM ET #22

    Let's rally. Lead off runner now advanced by Victorino on a perfect sacrifice. Let's drive the game winner in. Nice shot by Dejesus. Damn, that should've been if, but Cole is due!! ........and on to Bonus Baseball

    C'MON ANGELS- WHERE ARE THE RALLY MONKEYS.

    Mistake not sticking with Street

     

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    Let's rally. Lead off runner now advanced by Victorino on a perfect sacrifice. Let's drive the game winner in. Nice shot by Dejesus. Damn, that should've been if, but Cole is due!! ........and on to Bonus Baseball

    C'MON ANGELS- WHERE ARE THE RALLY MONKEYS.

    Mistake not sticking with Street

     

     
    Hog_Wild
    Hog_Wild
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    Posted: Aug. 5, 2015 - 12:56 AM ET #23

    OK- They got out of it with a game saving play by Aybar. .....so it's now or never with the big 3 _PLEASE!!!!
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    OK- They got out of it with a game saving play by Aybar. .....so it's now or never with the big 3 _PLEASE!!!!
     
    Bredren_Jo
    Bredren_Jo
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    Posted: Aug. 5, 2015 - 1:42 AM ET #24

    2 hits in 12 innings! How pathetic!
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    2 hits in 12 innings! How pathetic!
     
     
    jstaley12
    jstaley12
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    Posted: Aug. 5, 2015 - 2:57 AM ET #25

    Wow Hog, what % of your bankroll are you playing normally?  I can honestly say I cannot think of one time, or one game that I said the word please.  It may just be the translation of the written word though.  I was watching the O's @ A's game.  
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    Wow Hog, what % of your bankroll are you playing normally?  I can honestly say I cannot think of one time, or one game that I said the word please.  It may just be the translation of the written word though.  I was watching the O's @ A's game.  
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