Posted:
#1
Can we get a write-up this week with your boys vs. LSU? Always love your insight in games especially in regards to Bama.
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Jimmydafreak
Posted:
#4
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:
he likes Bama in every big game that's been played over last 5 years, he only picks against them when they are huge favorites vs scrub teams
he likes Bama in every big game that's been played over last 5 years, he only picks against them when they are huge favorites vs scrub teams
no chance he likes LSU in this game at under a TD 
Maybe so, but he use to give good write-ups and they are good reads. Perhaps he will surprise us this time and take LSU, although doubtful.
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Posted:
#7
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:
he likes Bama in every big game that's been played over last 5 years, he only picks against them when they are huge favorites vs scrub teams
he likes Bama in every big game that's been played over last 5 years, he only picks against them when they are huge favorites vs scrub teams
no chance he likes LSU in this game at under a TD
this^^^^^
i dont hang out much in college football section but i do remember the hysteria wen he all but guaranteed bama covers 3 strait years in big matchups(texas a&m,ohio state or sumthing??)...like "all in" type bets....and all lost...which dont look too good wen you shiit all over others contrary opinions prior to the game.
so information is obviously very useful but wen it comes to nothing,i dunno.
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Posted:
#10
Quote Originally Posted by incognegro:
Can we get a write-up this week with your boys vs. LSU? Always love your insight in games especially in regards to Bama.
Can we get a write-up this week with your boys vs. LSU? Always love your insight in games especially in regards to Bama.
I have considered giving my thoughts on the game, but there really isn't much mystery in this match-up. As always, my top play in this matchup is the UNDER. The number I see right now is 48, which I think is a bargain. Because this is a game with OT potential, I would prefer to play the 1st half UNDER versus the game UNDER, but both are very strong plays.
As far as the side is concerned, I view this game as a toss up, and if you're inclined to bet a toss up game, ALWAYS take the points. Toss up games, however, usually have lines of around 3. I'm seeing 6.5 right now, so I'd either buy the hook and roll with LSU +7, and/or play LSU on the ML.
As gamblers we have to seek out value, and all the value in this game is on the LSU side. As has been the case with Alabama virtually all season, the oddsmakers have sucked all the value out of playing the Alabama side.
My play is UNDER whatever total the oddsmakers throw out there. At the current number of 48, which 3-5 points higher than what I expected, I would consider that a Best Bet.
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Posted:
#13
Agree with a lot of what Jimmy said and have to lean Bayou Bengalz here, but still teased it off plus 7 at the opener.
It just simplifies it for me and requires me not to think, which has proven problematic for me more often than not.
This game will be on Harris I believe so let's see what he's got....
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Posted:
#14
Quote Originally Posted by Oktoberfestlax4:
Agree with a lot of what Jimmy said and have to lean Bayou Bengalz here, but still teased it off plus 7 at the opener.
Agree with a lot of what Jimmy said and have to lean Bayou Bengalz here, but still teased it off plus 7 at the opener.
It just simplifies it for me and requires me not to think, which has proven problematic for me more often than not.
This game will be on Harris I believe so let's see what he's got....
I usually think that playing teasers in college football is a bad idea, but I actually think teasing LSU and the UNDER is a pretty strong play.
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Posted:
#16
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
I have considered giving my thoughts on the game, but there really isn't much mystery in this match-up. As always, my top play in this matchup is the UNDER. The number I see right now is 48, which I think is a bargain. Because this is a game with OT potential, I would prefer to play the 1st half UNDER versus the game UNDER, but both are very strong plays.
As far as the side is concerned, I view this game as a toss up, and if you're inclined to bet a toss up game, ALWAYS take the points. Toss up games, however, usually have lines of around 3. I'm seeing 6.5 right now, so I'd either buy the hook and roll with LSU +7, and/or play LSU on the ML.
As gamblers we have to seek out value, and all the value in this game is on the LSU side. As has been the case with Alabama virtually all season, the oddsmakers have sucked all the value out of playing the Alabama side.
My play is UNDER whatever total the oddsmakers throw out there. At the current number of 48, which 3-5 points higher than what I expected, I would consider that a Best Bet.
Thx Jimmy. I've followed you for years and appreciate your insight. Thanks again!
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Posted:
#19
What's up Freak....man our jags are having another rough season, besides beating a weak Troy team & the game against SDSU.
What are you thinking about those St. Bulldogs tonight against Mizzou? That line has crawled back down to 7.5, but I think they are giving that def. a little too much credit...they kept an over ranked, Chubb-less georgia to 10 points, but h@ll then lost to Vandy the next week by 7 ??? Florida put up 21, Ken. even put up 21, and for Pete's sake even Arky ST. put up 20!!!!
I just don't see how st. doesn't win this one by double digits....
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