Sabres vs Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Cordell's prediction: Penguins rookie Ben Kindel piles up the shots on goal vs. the Sabres.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Mar 5, 2026 • 08:23 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 9 hrs
BUF
61 %
PIT
39 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Ben Kindel o2.5  Shots On Goal (+135) Ben Kindel o2.5 Shots On Goal (+135)
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Ben Kindel Pittsburgh Penguins NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Pittsburgh Penguins center Ben Kindel (81) skates up ice with the puck against the Ottawa Senators.

Ben Kindel is having an impressive rookie season for the Pittsburgh Penguins and has stepped up in Sidney Crosby's absence.

My Sabres vs. Penguins predictions expect the young pivot to put forth another strong offensive performance in a high-paced matchup against Buffalo.

Let’s break down my NHL picks for Thursday, March 5.

Sabres vs Penguins prediction

Sabres vs Penguins best bet: Ben Kindel Over 2.5 shots on goal (+135)

Ben Kindel is centering the Pittsburgh Penguins' top line without Sidney Crosby in the lineup. He has taken full advantage of the opportunity, averaging 3.8 shots on 6.3 attempts over four games.

Kindel has logged 17+ minutes in two of the last three, well above his season average of 15:24. He has clearly earned the trust of head coach Dan Muse.

The Buffalo Sabres rank first in pace and 31st in shot suppression at 5-on-5 over the past 10 games. They’re playing fast, high-event hockey and giving up a ton of shots.

That bodes well for Kindel in his first-line center role.

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Sabres vs Penguins same-game parlay

Evgeni Malkin has seen an uptick in shot volume without Crosby, averaging more than a full extra shot attempt each night. He has also picked up three points over two games on home ice. In a high-paced matchup with more on his plate, Malkin will make noise.

Let’s round out the parlay with another player benefiting from injury. Jack Quinn has registered 2+ shots on goal in 73% of his appearances without Jiri Kulich and eight straight overall.

Sabres vs Penguins SGP

  • Ben Kindel Over 2.5 shots on goal
  • Evgeni Malkin Over 0.5 points
  • Jack Quinn Over 1.5 shots on goal

Sabres vs Penguins odds

  • Moneyline: Sabres -110 | Penguins -110
  • Puck Line: Sabres -1.5 (+210) | Penguins +1.5 (+260)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115)

Sabres vs Penguins trend

Ben Kindel has recorded 13 shots over his last three games, generating at least three in each. Find more NHL betting trends for Sabres vs. Penguins.

How to watch Sabres vs Penguins

Location PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
Date Thursday, March 5, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Sabres vs Penguins latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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